T-Mobile Stock Future Price Prediction

TMUS
 Stock
  

USD 148.62  1.28  0.85%   

T-Mobile US stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of T-Mobile shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of T-Mobile's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of T-Mobile and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from T-Mobile's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with T-Mobile US, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at T-Mobile Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of T-Mobile based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The T-Mobile stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on T-Mobile over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.27) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.0
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.99
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.65
Wall Street Target Price
176.43
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.04
Using T-Mobile hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of T-Mobile US from the perspective of T-Mobile response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards T-Mobile using T-Mobile's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards T-Mobile using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of T-Mobile's stock price.
T-Mobile Revenue to Assets are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. T-Mobile reported last year Revenue to Assets of 0.39. As of 11/29/2022, Total Assets Per Share is likely to grow to 178.41, while Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 8.88.

T-Mobile Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in T-Mobile's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards T-Mobile. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of T-Mobile stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long T-Mobile may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about T-Mobile and may potentially protect profits, hedge T-Mobile with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
135.35
Short Percent
0.0245
Short Ratio
2.79
Shares Short Prior Month
16.5 M
50 Day MA
141.94
Shares Short
17 M

T-Mobile US Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to T-Mobile's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in T-Mobile. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding T-Mobile can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around T-Mobile US. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of T-Mobile's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about T-Mobile.

T-Mobile Implied Volatility

    
  35.92  
T-Mobile's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of T-Mobile US stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if T-Mobile's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that T-Mobile stock will not fluctuate a lot when T-Mobile's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in T-Mobile. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in T-Mobile to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying T-Mobile because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

T-Mobile after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 148.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current T-Mobile contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that T-Mobile US will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.24% per day over the life of the 2022-12-02 option contract. With T-Mobile trading at $148.62, that is roughly $3.34. If you think that the market is fully incorporating T-Mobile's daily price movement you should consider acquiring T-Mobile US options at the current volatility level of 35.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of T-Mobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of T-Mobile in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
133.76151.22152.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
148.40150.13151.86
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
128.00168.69200.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (17)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.002.233.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as T-Mobile. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against T-Mobile's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, T-Mobile's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in T-Mobile US.

T-Mobile After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of T-Mobile at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in T-Mobile or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of T-Mobile, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

T-Mobile Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting T-Mobile's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on T-Mobile's historical news coverage. T-Mobile's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 147.07 and 150.53, respectively. We have considered T-Mobile's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 148.62
147.07
Downside
148.80
After-hype Price
150.53
Upside
T-Mobile is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of T-Mobile US is based on 3 months time horizon.

T-Mobile Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as T-Mobile is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading T-Mobile backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with T-Mobile, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.07  1.73  0.18    0.46  6 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
148.62148.800.12 
65.53  

T-Mobile Hype Timeline

T-Mobile US is at this time traded for 148.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.46. T-Mobile is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 148.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 65.53%. The price gain on the next news is forecasted to be 0.12% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on T-Mobile is about 26.24% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 148.16. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 80.08 B. Net Income was 1.54 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 45.55 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days.
Additionally, take a look at T-Mobile Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

T-Mobile Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to T-Mobile's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict T-Mobile's future price movements. Getting to know how T-Mobile rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how T-Mobile may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

T-Mobile Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine T-Mobile price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for T-Mobile using various technical indicators. When you analyze T-Mobile charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About T-Mobile Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of T-Mobile stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as T-Mobile US, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of T-Mobile based on analysis of T-Mobile hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to T-Mobile's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to T-Mobile's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.991.091.051.41
Interest Coverage5.152.462.062.11

Story Coverage note for T-Mobile

The number of cover stories for T-Mobile depends on current market conditions and T-Mobile's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that T-Mobile is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about T-Mobile's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

T-Mobile Short Properties

T-Mobile's future price predictability will typically decrease when T-Mobile's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of T-Mobile US often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential T-Mobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. T-Mobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date1st of May 2013
Shares Percent Shares Out1.32%
Short Percent Of Float2.38%
Float Shares625.46M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.31M
Shares Short Prior Month16.32M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month5.29M
Date Short Interest31st of October 2022
Additionally, take a look at T-Mobile Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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When running T-Mobile US price analysis, check to measure T-Mobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy T-Mobile is operating at the current time. Most of T-Mobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of T-Mobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move T-Mobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of T-Mobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is T-Mobile's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of T-Mobile. If investors know T-Mobile will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about T-Mobile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.27) 
Market Capitalization
186.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.007) 
Return On Assets
0.0373
Return On Equity
0.0221
The market value of T-Mobile US is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of T-Mobile that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of T-Mobile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is T-Mobile's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because T-Mobile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect T-Mobile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between T-Mobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine T-Mobile value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, T-Mobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.