Atlassian Stock Future Price Prediction

TEAM
 Stock
  

USD 283.25  7.45  2.70%   

Atlassian Cls A stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Atlassian Cls shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Atlassian Cls' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Atlassian Cls and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Atlassian Cls' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Atlassian Cls A, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Atlassian Cls Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Atlassian Cls based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Atlassian stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Atlassian Cls over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.72
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.35
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.69
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.53
Wall Street Target Price
328.29
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.26
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.36
Using Atlassian Cls hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atlassian Cls A from the perspective of Atlassian Cls response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Atlassian Cls using Atlassian Cls' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Atlassian using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Atlassian Cls' stock price.
Atlassian Cls Cash and Equivalents Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Cash and Equivalents Turnover is estimated at 2.00. Return on Investment is expected to hike to 9.36 this year, although the value of Accounts Payable Turnover will most likely fall to 50.52.

Atlassian Cls Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Atlassian Cls' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Atlassian. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Atlassian Cls stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Atlassian Cls may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Atlassian Cls and may potentially protect profits, hedge Atlassian Cls with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
285.27
Short Percent
0.0259
Short Ratio
2.17
Shares Short Prior Month
3.4 M
50 Day MA
202.52
Shares Short
3.6 M
Beta
1.01

Atlassian Cls A Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Atlassian Cls' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Atlassian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Atlassian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Atlassian Cls A. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Atlassian Cls' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Atlassian Cls.

Atlassian Cls Implied Volatility

    
  72.47  
Atlassian Cls' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Atlassian Cls A stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Atlassian Cls' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Atlassian Cls stock will not fluctuate a lot when Atlassian Cls' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Atlassian Cls. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Atlassian Cls to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Atlassian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Atlassian Cls after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 303.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Atlassian contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Atlassian Cls A will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.53% per day over the life of the 2022-08-12 option contract. With Atlassian Cls trading at $283.25, that is roughly $12.83. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Atlassian Cls' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Atlassian Cls A options at the current volatility level of 72.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlassian Cls' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Atlassian Cls in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
254.93351.49356.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
317.25322.19327.13
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
282.00442.38525.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.030.160.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Atlassian Cls. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Atlassian Cls' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Atlassian Cls' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Atlassian Cls A.

Atlassian Cls After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Atlassian Cls at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atlassian Cls or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Atlassian Cls, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Atlassian Cls Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Atlassian Cls' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atlassian Cls' historical news coverage. Atlassian Cls' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 254.93 and 308.35, respectively. We have considered Atlassian Cls' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 283.25
254.93
Downside
303.41
After-hype Price
308.35
Upside
Atlassian Cls is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atlassian Cls A is based on 3 months time horizon.

Atlassian Cls Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Atlassian Cls is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atlassian Cls backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atlassian Cls, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.88  4.94  20.16    977.22  1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
283.25303.417.12 
21.56  

Atlassian Cls Hype Timeline

Atlassian Cls A is at this time traded for 283.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 20.16 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -977.22. Atlassian is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 303.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 21.56%. The price surge on the next news is forecasted to be 7.12% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.88%. The volatility of related hype on Atlassian Cls is about 0.44% with expected price after next announcement by competition of -693.97. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (27.73) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (1.62) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of -0.02. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be very soon.
Additionally, take a look at Atlassian Cls Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Atlassian Cls Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Atlassian Cls' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atlassian Cls' future price movements. Getting to know how Atlassian Cls rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atlassian Cls may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Atlassian Cls Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Atlassian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atlassian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atlassian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Atlassian Cls Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Atlassian Cls stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Atlassian Cls A, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Atlassian Cls based on analysis of Atlassian Cls hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Atlassian Cls's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Atlassian Cls's related companies.
 2021 2022 (projected)
PPandE Turnover22.9518.87
Calculated Tax Rate13.1411.18

Story Coverage note for Atlassian Cls

The number of cover stories for Atlassian Cls depends on current market conditions and Atlassian Cls' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atlassian Cls is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atlassian Cls' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Atlassian Cls Short Properties

Atlassian Cls' future price predictability will typically decrease when Atlassian Cls' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Atlassian Cls A often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Atlassian Cls' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlassian Cls' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.33%
Short Percent Of Float2.39%
Float Shares143.65M
Shares Short Prior Month4.55M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.52M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.05M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Additionally, take a look at Atlassian Cls Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Atlassian Cls A information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Atlassian Cls' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

Complementary Tools for Atlassian Stock analysis

When running Atlassian Cls A price analysis, check to measure Atlassian Cls' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlassian Cls is operating at the current time. Most of Atlassian Cls' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlassian Cls' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlassian Cls' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlassian Cls to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Atlassian Cls' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlassian Cls. If investors know Atlassian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atlassian Cls listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.72
Market Capitalization
69.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.36
Return On Assets
-0.0211
Return On Equity
-1.95
The market value of Atlassian Cls A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atlassian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atlassian Cls' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atlassian Cls' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atlassian Cls' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atlassian Cls' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atlassian Cls' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Atlassian Cls value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atlassian Cls' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.