Sunoco Stock Future Price Prediction

SUN
 Stock
  

USD 42.75  0.78  1.86%   

Sunoco LP stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Sunoco LP shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Sunoco LP's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sunoco LP and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sunoco LP's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sunoco LP, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Sunoco LP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Sunoco LP based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Sunoco stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Sunoco LP over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.25) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.88
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.23
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.26
Wall Street Target Price
46.29
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.09
Using Sunoco LP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunoco LP from the perspective of Sunoco LP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sunoco LP using Sunoco LP's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sunoco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sunoco LP's stock price.

Sunoco LP Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Sunoco LP's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sunoco. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sunoco LP stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Sunoco LP may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sunoco LP and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sunoco LP with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
40.6543
Short Percent
0.01
Short Ratio
2.25
Shares Short Prior Month
801.2 K
50 Day MA
41.4762
Shares Short
551.5 K

Sunoco LP Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Sunoco LP's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Sunoco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sunoco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sunoco LP. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sunoco LP's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sunoco LP.

Sunoco LP Implied Volatility

    
  146.75  
Sunoco LP's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sunoco LP stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sunoco LP's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sunoco LP stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sunoco LP's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Sunoco LP. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sunoco LP to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sunoco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sunoco LP after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 42.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sunoco contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sunoco LP will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 9.17% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With Sunoco LP trading at USD42.75, that is roughly USD3.92. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sunoco LP's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sunoco LP options at the current volatility level of 146.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sunoco LP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Sunoco LP in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
36.6838.1847.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
41.6543.1444.64
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0031.5851.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.241.481.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sunoco LP. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sunoco LP's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sunoco LP's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Sunoco LP.

Sunoco LP After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sunoco LP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sunoco LP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sunoco LP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sunoco LP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sunoco LP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sunoco LP's historical news coverage. Sunoco LP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.19 and 44.19, respectively. We have considered Sunoco LP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 42.75
42.69
After-hype Price
44.19
Upside
Sunoco LP is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sunoco LP is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sunoco LP Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Sunoco LP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunoco LP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sunoco LP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.16  1.50   0.06   0.08  5 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
42.7542.690.14 
394.74  

Sunoco LP Hype Timeline

On the 7th of December Sunoco LP is traded for 42.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Sunoco is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 42.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.14% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Sunoco LP is about 288.46% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 42.83. About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Sunoco LP was at this time reported as 11.68. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.22. Sunoco LP last dividend was issued on the 3rd of November 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the June 13, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days.
Additionally, take a look at Sunoco LP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sunoco LP Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sunoco LP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sunoco LP's future price movements. Getting to know how Sunoco LP rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sunoco LP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Sunoco LP Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sunoco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunoco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunoco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sunoco LP Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sunoco LP stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sunoco LP, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sunoco LP based on analysis of Sunoco LP hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sunoco LP's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sunoco LP's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Sunoco LP

The number of cover stories for Sunoco LP depends on current market conditions and Sunoco LP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sunoco LP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sunoco LP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sunoco LP Short Properties

Sunoco LP's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sunoco LP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sunoco LP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sunoco LP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunoco LP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding84438276.00
Cash And Short Term Investments25000000.00
Additionally, take a look at Sunoco LP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Sunoco LP price analysis, check to measure Sunoco LP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sunoco LP is operating at the current time. Most of Sunoco LP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sunoco LP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sunoco LP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sunoco LP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Go
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Is Sunoco LP's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sunoco LP. If investors know Sunoco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sunoco LP listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.25) 
Market Capitalization
3.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.38
Return On Assets
0.0769
Return On Equity
0.5849
The market value of Sunoco LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sunoco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sunoco LP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sunoco LP's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sunoco LP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sunoco LP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sunoco LP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Sunoco LP value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sunoco LP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.