Stem Stock Future Price Prediction

STEM -  USA Stock  

USD 7.39  0.45  6.48%

Stem Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Stem shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Stem's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Stem and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Stem's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Stem Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Stem Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Stem based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Stem stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Stem over a specific investment horizon. Using Stem hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stem Inc from the perspective of Stem response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Stem using Stem's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Stem using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Stem's stock price.

Stem Implied Volatility

    
  80.99  
Stem's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Stem Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Stem's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Stem stock will not fluctuate a lot when Stem's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Stem. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Stem to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Stem because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Stem after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 7.27  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stem's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Stem in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.356.9614.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.136.5913.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.287.468.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Stem. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Stem's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Stem's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Stem Inc.

Stem After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Stem at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stem or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Stem, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Stem Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Stem's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stem's historical news coverage. Stem's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 14.41, respectively. We have considered Stem's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 7.39
7.27
After-hype Price
14.41
Upside
Stem is unstable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stem Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Stem Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Stem is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stem backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stem, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.43  7.14   0.12   1.10  7 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.397.271.62 
2,550  

Stem Hype Timeline

Stem Inc is at this time traded for 7.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.1. Stem is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 7.27. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -1.62% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Stem is about 280.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 8.49. About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.74. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Stem Inc recorded a loss per share of 3.46. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the July 6, 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 7 days.
Additionally, take a look at Stem Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Stem Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Stem's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stem's future price movements. Getting to know how Stem rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stem may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Stem Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Stem price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stem using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stem charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Stem Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Stem stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Stem Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Stem based on analysis of Stem hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Stem's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Stem's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Stem

The number of cover stories for Stem depends on current market conditions and Stem's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stem is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stem's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Stem Short Properties

Stem's future price predictability will typically decrease when Stem's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Stem Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Stem's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stem's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out9.06%
Short Percent Of Float9.76%
Float Shares137.16M
Shares Short Prior Month12.92M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.47M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month4.53M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Additionally, take a look at Stem Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Stem Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Stem's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Complementary Tools for Stem Stock analysis

When running Stem Inc price analysis, check to measure Stem's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stem is operating at the current time. Most of Stem's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stem's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stem's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stem to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Stem's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stem. If investors know Stem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stem listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Stem Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stem that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stem's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stem's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stem's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stem's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stem's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Stem value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stem's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.