Synopsys Stock Future Price Prediction

SNPS
 Stock
  

USD 328.02  3.25  0.98%   

Synopsys stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Synopsys shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Synopsys' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Synopsys and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Synopsys' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Synopsys, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Synopsys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Synopsys based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Synopsys stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Synopsys over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.22) 
EPS Estimate Current Year
8.85
EPS Estimate Next Year
10.08
Wall Street Target Price
412.17
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.84
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.114
Using Synopsys hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Synopsys from the perspective of Synopsys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Synopsys using Synopsys' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Synopsys using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Synopsys' stock price.
Synopsys Quick Ratio is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Synopsys reported last year Quick Ratio of 1.02. As of 12/06/2022, Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets is likely to grow to 5.60, while Accrued Expenses Turnover is likely to drop 5.42.

Synopsys Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Synopsys' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Synopsys. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Synopsys stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Synopsys may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Synopsys and may potentially protect profits, hedge Synopsys with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
315.9336
Short Percent
0.0145
Short Ratio
2.06
Shares Short Prior Month
1.7 M
50 Day MA
307.9314
Shares Short
M

Synopsys Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Synopsys' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Synopsys. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Synopsys can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Synopsys. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Synopsys' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Synopsys.

Synopsys Implied Volatility

    
  25.31  
Synopsys' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Synopsys stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Synopsys' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Synopsys stock will not fluctuate a lot when Synopsys' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Synopsys. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Synopsys to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Synopsys because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Synopsys after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 328.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Synopsys contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Synopsys will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.58% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With Synopsys trading at USD328.02, that is roughly USD5.19. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Synopsys' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Synopsys options at the current volatility level of 25.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Synopsys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Synopsys in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
295.22333.82336.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
318.06320.73323.41
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
315.00370.83445.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.395.435.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Synopsys. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Synopsys' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Synopsys' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Synopsys.

Synopsys After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Synopsys at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Synopsys or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Synopsys, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Synopsys Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Synopsys' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Synopsys' historical news coverage. Synopsys' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 325.72 and 331.08, respectively. We have considered Synopsys' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 328.02
325.72
Downside
328.40
After-hype Price
331.08
Upside
Synopsys is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Synopsys is based on 3 months time horizon.

Synopsys Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Synopsys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Synopsys backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Synopsys, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.02  2.68  0.38   0.00  7 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
328.02328.400.12 
14.10  

Synopsys Hype Timeline

Synopsys is at this time traded for 328.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.38 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Synopsys is projected to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 328.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 14.1%. The price gain on the next news is forecasted to be 0.12% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Synopsys is about 1640.82% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 328.02. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.08 B. Net Income was 978.44 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.08 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Additionally, take a look at Synopsys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Synopsys Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Synopsys' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Synopsys' future price movements. Getting to know how Synopsys rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Synopsys may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BACBank Of America(1.57) 2 per month 2.04 (0.0281)  4.14 (2.97)  10.59 
TRVThe Travelers Companies 2.37 8 per month 1.24  0.11  2.80 (2.03)  6.50 
INTCIntel 1.34 8 per month 0.00 (0.05)  4.33 (3.46)  14.49 
AAAlcoa Corp(0.76) 9 per month 4.19  0.0022  7.74 (7.61)  20.15 
JPMJPMorgan Chase Co(2.41) 8 per month 1.39  0.09  4.20 (2.80)  8.36 
PGProcter Gamble(0.12) 9 per month 1.05  0.06  1.83 (2.07)  4.45 
JNJJohnson Johnson(0.21) 6 per month 0.94  0.06  1.58 (1.54)  5.18 
CVXChevron Corp(0.28) 9 per month 1.95  0.0423  3.37 (2.91)  9.61 
TATT Inc 0.17 9 per month 1.17  0.07  2.54 (2.11)  9.29 

Synopsys Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Synopsys price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Synopsys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Synopsys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Synopsys Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Synopsys stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Synopsys, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Synopsys based on analysis of Synopsys hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Synopsys's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Synopsys's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.02050.0047390.005450.005593
Interest Coverage392.74796.09915.5939.59

Story Coverage note for Synopsys

The number of cover stories for Synopsys depends on current market conditions and Synopsys' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Synopsys is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Synopsys' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Synopsys Short Properties

Synopsys' future price predictability will typically decrease when Synopsys' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Synopsys often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Synopsys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Synopsys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding156485000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1565521000.00
Additionally, take a look at Synopsys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Synopsys price analysis, check to measure Synopsys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Synopsys is operating at the current time. Most of Synopsys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Synopsys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Synopsys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Synopsys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Synopsys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Synopsys. If investors know Synopsys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Synopsys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.22) 
Market Capitalization
50 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.114
Return On Assets
0.0808
Return On Equity
0.1802
The market value of Synopsys is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Synopsys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Synopsys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Synopsys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Synopsys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Synopsys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Synopsys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Synopsys value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Synopsys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.