Standard Stock Future Price Prediction

SMP
 Stock
  

USD 44.47  0.66  1.46%   

Standard Motor Products stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Standard shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Standard's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Standard and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Standard's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Standard Motor Products, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Standard Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Standard based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Standard stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Standard over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.064
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.66
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.99
Wall Street Target Price
59.67
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.71
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.17
Using Standard hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Standard Motor Products from the perspective of Standard response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Standard using Standard's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Standard using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Standard's stock price.
Standard Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets are very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Standard reported last year Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets of 21.46. As of 28th of June 2022, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 0.21, while PPandE Turnover is likely to drop 16.00.

Standard Implied Volatility

    
  48.86  
Standard's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Standard Motor Products stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Standard's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Standard stock will not fluctuate a lot when Standard's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Standard. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Standard to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Standard because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Standard after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 44.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Standard's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Standard in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
40.0255.9057.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
42.2044.0945.98
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
56.0059.3361.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.164.194.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Standard. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Standard's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Standard's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Standard Motor Products.

Standard After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Standard at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Standard or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Standard, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Standard Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Standard's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Standard's historical news coverage. Standard's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.57 and 46.35, respectively. We have considered Standard's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 44.47
44.46
After-hype Price
46.35
Upside
Standard is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Standard Motor Products is based on 3 months time horizon.

Standard Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Standard is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Standard backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Standard, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.05  1.89   0.01   0.05  9 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
44.4744.460.02 
1,260  

Standard Hype Timeline

On the 28th of June Standard Motor Products is traded for 44.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Standard is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 44.46. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.02% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Standard is about 190.91% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 44.52. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.68. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Standard Motor Products has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 13th of May 2022. The firm had 1:10 split on the 2nd of December 1983. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Additionally, take a look at Standard Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Standard Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Standard's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Standard's future price movements. Getting to know how Standard rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Standard may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VZVerizon Communications 0.99 9 per month 1.68  0.12  2.30 (2.42)  7.94 

Standard Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Standard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Standard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Standard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Standard Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Standard stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Standard Motor Products, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Standard based on analysis of Standard hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Standard's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Standard's related companies.
 2017 2018 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.20.340.39
Interest Coverage6.759.098.18

Story Coverage note for Standard

The number of cover stories for Standard depends on current market conditions and Standard's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Standard is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Standard's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Standard Short Properties

Standard's future price predictability will typically decrease when Standard's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Standard Motor Products often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Standard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Standard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.26%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.00
Short Percent Of Float1.61%
Float Shares19.9M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day164.35k
Shares Short Prior Month276.89k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month114.85k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.24%
Additionally, take a look at Standard Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Standard Motor Products information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Standard's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Standard Stock analysis

When running Standard Motor Products price analysis, check to measure Standard's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Standard is operating at the current time. Most of Standard's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Standard's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Standard's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Standard to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Standard's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Standard. If investors know Standard will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Standard listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.064
Market Capitalization
970.8 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.17
Return On Assets
0.0753
Return On Equity
0.17
The market value of Standard Motor Products is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Standard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Standard's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Standard's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Standard's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Standard's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Standard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Standard value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Standard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.