SLM Corp Stock Future Price Prediction

SLM
 Stock
  

USD 17.09  0.07  0.41%   

SLM Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of SLM Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of SLM Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SLM Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SLM Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SLM Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at SLM Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of SLM Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The SLM Corp stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on SLM Corp over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.21
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.41
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.51
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.62
Wall Street Target Price
18.62
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.48
Using SLM Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SLM Corp from the perspective of SLM Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SLM Corp using SLM Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SLM Corp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SLM Corp's stock price.
SLM Corp Debt to Equity Ratio is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Debt to Equity Ratio is estimated at 2.83. Dividend Yield is expected to hike to 0.0219 this year, although the value of Revenue to Assets will most likely fall to 0.07.

SLM Corp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in SLM Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards SLM Corp. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of SLM Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long SLM Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about SLM Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge SLM Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
16.75
Short Percent
0.0241
Short Ratio
3.01
Shares Short Prior Month
5.8 M
50 Day MA
15.85
Shares Short
5.2 M

SLM Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to SLM Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in SLM Corp. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SLM Corp can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SLM Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SLM Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SLM Corp.

SLM Corp Implied Volatility

    
  3.44  
SLM Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SLM Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SLM Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SLM Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when SLM Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in SLM Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SLM Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SLM Corp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SLM Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 17.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SLM Corp contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SLM Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.21% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With SLM Corp trading at $17.09, that is roughly $0.0367. If you think that the market is fully incorporating SLM Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SLM Corp options at the current volatility level of 3.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of SLM Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of SLM Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
15.3819.7622.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.9117.2819.64
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
21.0023.1024.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.553.573.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SLM Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SLM Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SLM Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in SLM Corp.

SLM Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SLM Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SLM Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SLM Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SLM Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SLM Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SLM Corp's historical news coverage. SLM Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.68 and 19.40, respectively. We have considered SLM Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 17.09
17.04
After-hype Price
19.40
Upside
SLM Corp is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SLM Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

SLM Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as SLM Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SLM Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SLM Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.25  2.40   0.05    0.20  5 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.0917.040.29 
1,143  

SLM Corp Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November SLM Corp is traded for 17.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.2. SLM Corp is expected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 17.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.29% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on SLM Corp is about 294.28% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 16.89. About 106.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of SLM Corp was at this time reported as 7.18. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.36. SLM Corp last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2022. The entity had 2798:1000 split on the 1st of May 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 5 days.
Additionally, take a look at SLM Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

SLM Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SLM Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SLM Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how SLM Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SLM Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AGNCAgnc Investment Corp 0.29 5 per month 0.00 (0.09)  5.28 (5.56)  13.69 
AMGAffiliated Managers Group(2.26) 6 per month 1.66  0.08  4.12 (2.39)  13.43 
AMPAmeriprise Financial Services(5.88) 9 per month 1.81  0.1  4.29 (3.11)  11.95 
AMTDAmtd Idea Group 1.67 3 per month 0.00 (0.13)  5.00 (10.82)  61.80 
APOApollo Asset Management(0.29) 5 per month 2.67  0.06  4.98 (4.25)  10.51 
AXPAmerican Express(3.02) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0405)  3.88 (3.11)  7.57 
BAPCredicorp 0.65 3 per month 1.95  0.1  4.04 (3.31)  10.96 
BENFranklin Resources 1.59 9 per month 2.24 (0.0103)  4.37 (3.49)  16.00 
BGCPBgc Partners Cl(0.09) 2 per month 0.00 (0.0217)  5.54 (4.32)  20.07 

SLM Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SLM Corp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SLM Corp using various technical indicators. When you analyze SLM Corp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SLM Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SLM Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SLM Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SLM Corp based on analysis of SLM Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SLM Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SLM Corp's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
PPandE Turnover19.8116.2215.7918.92
Calculated Tax Rate22.2523.6824.6532.09

Story Coverage note for SLM Corp

The number of cover stories for SLM Corp depends on current market conditions and SLM Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SLM Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SLM Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

SLM Corp Short Properties

SLM Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when SLM Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SLM Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SLM Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SLM Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.37%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.12
Short Percent Of Float2.77%
Float Shares225.26M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.49M
Shares Short Prior Month7.67M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.05M
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.71%
Additionally, take a look at SLM Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running SLM Corp price analysis, check to measure SLM Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SLM Corp is operating at the current time. Most of SLM Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SLM Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SLM Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SLM Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Go
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Go
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Go
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Go
Is SLM Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SLM Corp. If investors know SLM Corp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SLM Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.21
Market Capitalization
4.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.1
Return On Assets
0.0294
Return On Equity
0.41
The market value of SLM Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SLM Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SLM Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SLM Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SLM Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SLM Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SLM Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine SLM Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SLM Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.