Seagen Stock Future Price Prediction

SGEN
 Stock
  

USD 175.81  0.05  0.0284%   

Seagen Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Seagen shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Seagen's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Seagen and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Seagen's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Seagen Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Seagen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Seagen based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Seagen stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Seagen over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
5.23
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
-0.94
Wall Street Target Price
183.43
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
-0.86
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.28
Using Seagen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Seagen Inc from the perspective of Seagen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Seagen using Seagen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Seagen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Seagen's stock price.
Seagen Total Assets Per Share are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Total Assets Per Share is estimated at 21.89. Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets is expected to rise to 68.16 this year, although the value of PPandE Turnover will most likely fall to 7.33.

Seagen Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Seagen's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Seagen. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Seagen stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Seagen may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Seagen and may potentially protect profits, hedge Seagen with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
151.22
Short Percent
0.0167
Short Ratio
1.15
Shares Short Prior Month
2.7 M
50 Day MA
164.41
Shares Short
2.3 M
Beta
0.57

Seagen Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Seagen's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Seagen. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Seagen can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Seagen Inc. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Seagen's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Seagen.

Seagen Implied Volatility

    
  56.77  
Seagen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Seagen Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Seagen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Seagen stock will not fluctuate a lot when Seagen's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Seagen. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Seagen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Seagen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Seagen after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 175.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Seagen contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Seagen Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.55% per day over the life of the 2022-08-19 option contract. With Seagen trading at $175.81, that is roughly $6.24. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Seagen's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Seagen Inc options at the current volatility level of 56.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seagen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Seagen in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
158.27184.24187.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
186.90189.89192.88
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
153.00182.85210.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (9)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-3.89-3.54-3.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Seagen. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Seagen's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Seagen's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Seagen Inc.

Seagen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Seagen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Seagen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Seagen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Seagen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Seagen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Seagen's historical news coverage. Seagen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 172.96 and 178.94, respectively. We have considered Seagen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 175.81
172.96
Downside
175.95
After-hype Price
178.94
Upside
Seagen is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Seagen Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Seagen Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Seagen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Seagen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Seagen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.79  2.96  0.09    0.05  6 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
175.81175.950.05 
2,691  

Seagen Hype Timeline

Seagen Inc is at this time traded for 175.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Seagen is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 175.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is forecasted to be 0.05% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.79%. The volatility of related hype on Seagen is about 4385.19% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 175.76. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.78 B. Net Loss for the year was (739.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34.13 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 6 days.
Additionally, take a look at Seagen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Seagen Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Seagen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Seagen's future price movements. Getting to know how Seagen rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Seagen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PFEPfizer Inc(0.13) 10 per month 1.67  0.0261  2.93 (2.43)  7.74 
SBUXStarbucks Corp 1.34 10 per month 2.13  0.1  4.12 (4.21)  14.93 
TATT Inc(0.01) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0233)  2.20 (2.45)  10.81 
DISWalt Disney 1.90 10 per month 0.00 (0.0299)  3.73 (3.76)  7.34 
CVXChevron Corp(0.88) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0144)  3.14 (4.57)  11.62 
AXPAmerican Express(3.40) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0398)  3.79 (3.84)  9.74 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp 0.56 8 per month 2.98  0.0228  3.97 (4.21)  11.86 
IBMInternational Business Machines 0.08 9 per month 1.80  0.0228  2.10 (2.48)  8.93 

Seagen Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Seagen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Seagen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Seagen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Seagen Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Seagen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Seagen Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Seagen based on analysis of Seagen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Seagen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Seagen's related companies.
 2010 2021 2022 (projected)
Calculated Tax Rate0.330.30.29
Interest Coverage77.9870.1869.77

Story Coverage note for Seagen

The number of cover stories for Seagen depends on current market conditions and Seagen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Seagen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Seagen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Seagen Short Properties

Seagen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Seagen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Seagen Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Seagen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seagen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.23%
Short Percent Of Float1.67%
Float Shares135.76M
Shares Short Prior Month3.32M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day823.18k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.44M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Additionally, take a look at Seagen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Seagen Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Seagen's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Complementary Tools for Seagen Stock analysis

When running Seagen Inc price analysis, check to measure Seagen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seagen is operating at the current time. Most of Seagen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seagen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seagen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seagen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Seagen's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seagen. If investors know Seagen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seagen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
5.23
Market Capitalization
32.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.28
Return On Assets
-0.12
Return On Equity
-0.23
The market value of Seagen Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seagen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seagen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seagen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seagen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seagen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seagen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Seagen value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seagen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.