Stifel Stock Future Price Prediction

SF -  USA Stock  

USD 59.70  0.04  0.07%

Stifel Financial Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Stifel Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Stifel Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Stifel Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Stifel Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Stifel Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Stifel Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Stifel Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Stifel stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Stifel Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using Stifel Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stifel Financial Corp from the perspective of Stifel Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Stifel Financial using Stifel Financial's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Stifel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Stifel Financial's stock price.

Stifel Financial Implied Volatility

Stifel Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Stifel Financial Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Stifel Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Stifel Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Stifel Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Stifel Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Stifel Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Stifel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Stifel Financial after-hype prediction price

  $ 60.47  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stifel Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Stifel Financial in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
2 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Stifel Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Stifel Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Stifel Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Stifel Financial Corp.

Stifel Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Stifel Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stifel Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Stifel Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Stifel Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Stifel Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stifel Financial's historical news coverage. Stifel Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.61 and 63.33, respectively. We have considered Stifel Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 59.70
After-hype Price
Stifel Financial is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stifel Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Stifel Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Stifel Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stifel Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stifel Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.29  2.86  0.31    0.11  10 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Stifel Financial Hype Timeline

As of May 21, 2022 Stifel Financial Corp is listed for 59.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.31 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Stifel is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 60.47 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.52% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Stifel Financial is about 757.62% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 59.59. The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.51 B. Reported Net Income was 717.99 M with gross profit of 3.5 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 10 days.
Additionally, take a look at Stifel Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Stifel Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Stifel Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stifel Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Stifel Financial rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stifel Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Stifel Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Stifel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stifel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stifel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Stifel Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Stifel Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Stifel Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Stifel Financial based on analysis of Stifel Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Stifel Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Stifel Financial's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Stifel Financial

The number of cover stories for Stifel Financial depends on current market conditions and Stifel Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stifel Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stifel Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Stifel Financial Short Properties

Stifel Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Stifel Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Stifel Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Stifel Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stifel Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.92%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.57
Short Percent Of Float1.07%
Float Shares100.63M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day731.42k
Shares Short Prior Month804.94k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month646.66k
Date Short Interest31st of January 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.91%
Additionally, take a look at Stifel Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Stifel Financial Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Stifel Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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When running Stifel Financial Corp price analysis, check to measure Stifel Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stifel Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Stifel Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stifel Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stifel Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stifel Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Stifel Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stifel Financial. If investors know Stifel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stifel Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Stifel Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stifel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stifel Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stifel Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stifel Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stifel Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stifel Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Stifel Financial value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stifel Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.