Science Stock Future Price Prediction

SAIC
 Stock
  

USD 93.69  1.32  1.43%   

Science Applications stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Science Applications shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Science Applications' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Science Applications and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Science Applications' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Science Applications International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Science Applications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Science Applications based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Science stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Science Applications over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.065
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.95
EPS Estimate Next Year
6.84
Wall Street Target Price
102.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.77
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.063
Using Science Applications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Science Applications International from the perspective of Science Applications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Science Applications using Science Applications' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Science using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Science Applications' stock price.

Science Applications Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Science Applications' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Science. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Science Applications stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Science Applications may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Science Applications and may potentially protect profits, hedge Science Applications with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
87.65
Short Percent
0.0304
Short Ratio
5.99
Shares Short Prior Month
1.8 M
50 Day MA
92.18
Shares Short
1.5 M
Beta
0.67

Science Applications Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Science Applications' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Science. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Science can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Science Applications International. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Science Applications' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Science Applications.

Science Applications Implied Volatility

    
  3.48  
Science Applications' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Science Applications International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Science Applications' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Science Applications stock will not fluctuate a lot when Science Applications' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Science Applications. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Science Applications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Science because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Science Applications after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 93.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Science contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Science Applications International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.22% per day over the life of the 2022-08-19 option contract. With Science Applications trading at $93.69, that is roughly $0.2. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Science Applications' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Science Applications International options at the current volatility level of 3.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Science Applications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Science Applications in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
84.32104.70106.53
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
93.00103.56111.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.856.957.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Science Applications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Science Applications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Science Applications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Science Applications.

Science Applications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Science Applications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Science Applications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Science Applications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Science Applications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Science Applications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Science Applications' historical news coverage. Science Applications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 91.87 and 95.53, respectively. We have considered Science Applications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 93.69
93.70
After-hype Price
95.53
Upside
Science Applications is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Science Applications is based on 3 months time horizon.

Science Applications Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Science Applications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Science Applications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Science Applications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.20  1.83  0.01   0.00  9 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
93.6993.700.01 
6,100  

Science Applications Hype Timeline

Science Applications is at this time traded for 93.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Science is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 93.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.01% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Science Applications is about 10293.75% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 93.69. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.51 B. Net Income was 269 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 859 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Additionally, take a look at Science Applications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Science Applications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Science Applications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Science Applications' future price movements. Getting to know how Science Applications rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Science Applications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PYPLPaypal Holdings 0.31 8 per month 2.91  0.1  6.27 (5.65)  14.12 
IRBTIrobot Corp(0.03) 5 per month 3.40  0.08  6.53 (5.22)  19.17 
VLDRVelodyne Lidar(0.05) 8 per month 6.28  0.06  11.64 (9.52)  34.49 
EPRTEssential Properties Realty(0.19) 7 per month 1.71  0.10  2.79 (2.50)  10.71 
GOOGLAlphabet Cl A(2.32) 10 per month 2.22  0.0173  4.20 (3.92)  10.75 
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill 0.84 11 per month 2.13  0.11  4.28 (3.84)  16.34 
NCMINational Cinemedia(0.07) 6 per month 6.00  0.0454  9.73 (8.26)  38.74 
AAgilent Technologies 1.55 8 per month 1.89  0.07  4.22 (3.15)  8.98 
AAAlcoa Corp(0.20) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0262)  5.50 (5.50)  17.64 

Science Applications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Science price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Science using various technical indicators. When you analyze Science charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Science Applications Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Science Applications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Science Applications International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Science Applications based on analysis of Science Applications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Science Applications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Science Applications's related companies.
 2010 2019 2022 (projected)
PPandE Turnover56.9771.2972.23
Calculated Tax Rate19.4122.0722.1

Story Coverage note for Science Applications

The number of cover stories for Science Applications depends on current market conditions and Science Applications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Science Applications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Science Applications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Science Applications Short Properties

Science Applications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Science Applications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Science Applications International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Science Applications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Science Applications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.77%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.48
Short Percent Of Float3.10%
Float Shares55.33M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day210.47k
Shares Short Prior Month2.02M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month317.16k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.57%
Additionally, take a look at Science Applications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Science Applications information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Science Applications' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running Science Applications price analysis, check to measure Science Applications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Science Applications is operating at the current time. Most of Science Applications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Science Applications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Science Applications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Science Applications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Science Applications' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Science Applications. If investors know Science will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Science Applications listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.065
Market Capitalization
5.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.063
Return On Assets
0.0557
Return On Equity
0.17
The market value of Science Applications is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Science that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Science Applications' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Science Applications' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Science Applications' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Science Applications' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Science Applications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Science Applications value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Science Applications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.