Rocket Stock Future Price Prediction

RKLB
 Stock
  

USD 4.18  0.22  5.00%   

Rocket Lab USA stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Rocket Lab shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Rocket Lab's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Rocket Lab and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Rocket Lab's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rocket Lab USA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Rocket Lab Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Rocket Lab based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Rocket stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Rocket Lab over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.07) 
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.27) 
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.21) 
Wall Street Target Price
9.97
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.07) 
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
10.93
Using Rocket Lab hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rocket Lab USA from the perspective of Rocket Lab response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rocket Lab using Rocket Lab's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rocket using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rocket Lab's stock price.

Rocket Lab Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Rocket Lab's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Rocket. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Rocket Lab stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Rocket Lab may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Rocket Lab and may potentially protect profits, hedge Rocket Lab with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
5.89
Short Percent
0.0933
Short Ratio
7.31
Shares Short Prior Month
18.7 M
50 Day MA
4.62
Shares Short
19.3 M

Rocket Lab USA Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Rocket Lab's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Rocket. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rocket can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rocket Lab USA. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rocket Lab's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rocket Lab.

Rocket Lab Implied Volatility

    
  65.82  
Rocket Lab's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rocket Lab USA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rocket Lab's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rocket Lab stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rocket Lab's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Rocket Lab. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rocket Lab to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rocket because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Rocket Lab after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 4.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rocket Lab's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Rocket Lab in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.193.768.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.083.848.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.034.474.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rocket Lab. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rocket Lab's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rocket Lab's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Rocket Lab USA.

Rocket Lab After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rocket Lab at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rocket Lab or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rocket Lab, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rocket Lab Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rocket Lab's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rocket Lab's historical news coverage. Rocket Lab's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 8.81, respectively. We have considered Rocket Lab's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 4.18
4.05
After-hype Price
8.81
Upside
Rocket Lab is risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rocket Lab USA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rocket Lab Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Rocket Lab is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rocket Lab backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rocket Lab, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21  4.76   0.13   0.64  8 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.184.053.11 
780.33  

Rocket Lab Hype Timeline

Rocket Lab USA is at this time traded for 4.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.64. Rocket is expected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 4.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -3.11% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Rocket Lab is about 156.37% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.82. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Rocket Lab was at this time reported as 1.5. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.29. Rocket Lab USA recorded a loss per share of 2.84. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Additionally, take a look at Rocket Lab Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Rocket Lab Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rocket Lab's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rocket Lab's future price movements. Getting to know how Rocket Lab rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rocket Lab may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Rocket Lab Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rocket price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rocket using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rocket charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Rocket Lab Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Rocket Lab stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rocket Lab USA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rocket Lab based on analysis of Rocket Lab hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rocket Lab's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rocket Lab's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Rocket Lab

The number of cover stories for Rocket Lab depends on current market conditions and Rocket Lab's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rocket Lab is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rocket Lab's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Rocket Lab Short Properties

Rocket Lab's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rocket Lab's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rocket Lab USA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rocket Lab's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rocket Lab's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.99%
Short Percent Of Float8.38%
Float Shares221.78M
Shares Short Prior Month16.72M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.73M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.77M
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Additionally, take a look at Rocket Lab Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Rocket Lab USA price analysis, check to measure Rocket Lab's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rocket Lab is operating at the current time. Most of Rocket Lab's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rocket Lab's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rocket Lab's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rocket Lab to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Rocket Lab's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rocket Lab. If investors know Rocket will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rocket Lab listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
10.93
Return On Assets
(0.08) 
Return On Equity
(0.14) 
The market value of Rocket Lab USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rocket that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rocket Lab's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rocket Lab's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rocket Lab's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rocket Lab's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rocket Lab's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Rocket Lab value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rocket Lab's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.