Raymond Stock Future Price Prediction

RJF -  USA Stock  

USD 91.77  0.23  0.25%

Raymond James Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Raymond James shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Raymond James' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Raymond James and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Raymond James' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Raymond James Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Raymond James Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Raymond James based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Raymond stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Raymond James over a specific investment horizon. Using Raymond James hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Raymond James Financial from the perspective of Raymond James response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Raymond James using Raymond James' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Raymond using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Raymond James' stock price.

Raymond James Implied Volatility

    
  36.29  
Raymond James' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Raymond James Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Raymond James' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Raymond James stock will not fluctuate a lot when Raymond James' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Raymond James. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Raymond James to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Raymond because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Raymond James after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 92.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Raymond James' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Raymond James in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
82.7994.6297.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
89.3691.9594.53
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
80.00113.80136.67
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.787.007.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Raymond James. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Raymond James' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Raymond James' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Raymond James Financial.

Raymond James After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Raymond James at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Raymond James or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Raymond James, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Raymond James Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Raymond James' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Raymond James' historical news coverage. Raymond James' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 89.57 and 94.73, respectively. We have considered Raymond James' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 91.77
92.15
After-hype Price
94.73
Upside
Raymond James is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Raymond James Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Raymond James Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Raymond James is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Raymond James backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Raymond James, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.23  2.58  0.16    0.09  9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
91.7792.150.17 
368.57  

Raymond James Hype Timeline

On the 21st of May Raymond James Financial is traded for 91.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.16 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Raymond is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 92.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.17% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Raymond James is about 683.44% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 91.68. The company reported the last year's revenue of 9.81 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.4 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.25 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Additionally, take a look at Raymond James Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Raymond James Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Raymond James' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Raymond James' future price movements. Getting to know how Raymond James rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Raymond James may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WUWestern Union(0.06) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0073)  3.06 (3.82)  16.82 
NLYAnnaly Capital Management(0.03) 5 per month 0.00  0.0028  2.28 (2.69)  8.17 
OCNOcwen Financial Corp(0.16) 6 per month 0.00 (0.10)  4.86 (5.93)  23.79 
OMFOnemain Holdings(2.41) 5 per month 0.00 (0.06)  4.14 (4.74)  13.07 
PFGPrincipal Financial Group 1.45 8 per month 0.00  0.0296  3.55 (3.57)  9.15 
PNCPNC Bank(2.09) 8 per month 0.00 (0.13)  3.32 (3.34)  9.66 
STTState Street Corp 0.48 7 per month 0.00 (0.14)  3.81 (5.20)  13.81 
SYFSynchrony Financial(0.20) 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  4.73 (6.51)  13.31 

Raymond James Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Raymond price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Raymond using various technical indicators. When you analyze Raymond charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Raymond James Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Raymond James stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Raymond James Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Raymond James based on analysis of Raymond James hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Raymond James's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Raymond James's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Raymond James

The number of cover stories for Raymond James depends on current market conditions and Raymond James' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Raymond James is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Raymond James' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Raymond James Short Properties

Raymond James' future price predictability will typically decrease when Raymond James' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Raymond James Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Raymond James' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raymond James' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.40%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.04
Short Percent Of Float2.03%
Float Shares184.21M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.09M
Shares Short Prior Month2.86M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.33M
Date Short Interest15th of December 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.09%
Additionally, take a look at Raymond James Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Raymond James Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Raymond James' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

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When running Raymond James Financial price analysis, check to measure Raymond James' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Raymond James is operating at the current time. Most of Raymond James' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Raymond James' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Raymond James' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Raymond James to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Raymond James' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Raymond James. If investors know Raymond will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Raymond James listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Raymond James Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Raymond that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Raymond James' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Raymond James' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Raymond James' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Raymond James' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Raymond James' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Raymond James value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Raymond James' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.