Transocean Stock Future Price Prediction

RIG
 Stock
  

USD 4.19  0.12  2.95%   

Transocean stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Transocean shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Transocean's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Transocean and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Transocean's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Transocean, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Transocean Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Transocean based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Transocean stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Transocean over a specific investment horizon.Using Transocean hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Transocean from the perspective of Transocean response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Transocean Debt to Equity Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Debt to Equity Ratio was at 0.72. The current year Dividends per Basic Common Share is expected to grow to 1.24, whereas EBITDA Margin is forecasted to decline to 0.25.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Transocean. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Transocean to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Transocean because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Transocean after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Transocean's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Transocean in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.915.8610.81
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
6.0012.0117.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.571.021.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Transocean. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Transocean's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Transocean's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Transocean.

Transocean After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Transocean at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Transocean or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Transocean, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Transocean Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Transocean's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Transocean's historical news coverage. Transocean's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.21 and 9.14, respectively. We have considered Transocean's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 4.19
4.19
After-hype Price
9.14
Upside
Transocean is relatively risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Transocean is based on 3 months time horizon.

Transocean Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Transocean is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Transocean backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Transocean, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.38  4.95  0.06   60.49  7 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.194.191.45 
2,912  

Transocean Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of December Transocean is traded for 4.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 60.49. Transocean is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 4.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.45% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Transocean is about 3.11% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 64.68. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.56 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (591 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 871 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Additionally, take a look at Transocean Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Transocean Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Transocean's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Transocean's future price movements. Getting to know how Transocean rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Transocean may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BRK-ABerkshire Hathaway 1,191 5 per month 1.22  0.0302  3.19 (2.26)  6.26 
COCXFChocoladefabriken Lindt Sprngli 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13)  0.00  0.00  17.08 
FMBLFarmers And Merchants 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16)  1.48 (2.18)  5.93 
SBNCSouthern BancShares NC 0.00 0 per month 0.45 (0.13)  1.09 (0.35)  4.37 
NVRNVR Inc 65.89 4 per month 1.75  0.0421  4.54 (3.04)  14.29 
SEBSeaboard 16.59 4 per month 1.35 (0.0464)  2.01 (2.19)  5.63 
GGLTGiant Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BUDFFAnheuser-Busch InBev SANV 0.00 0 per month 1.53  0.1  3.65 (2.86)  7.80 

Transocean Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Transocean price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Transocean using various technical indicators. When you analyze Transocean charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Transocean Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Transocean stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Transocean, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Transocean based on analysis of Transocean hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Transocean's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Transocean's related companies.
 2014 2021 (projected)
Book Value per Share37.7735.95
Asset Turnover0.30.25

Story Coverage note for Transocean

The number of cover stories for Transocean depends on current market conditions and Transocean's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Transocean is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Transocean's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Transocean Short Properties

Transocean's future price predictability will typically decrease when Transocean's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Transocean often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Transocean's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Transocean's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding637000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments976000000.00
Additionally, take a look at Transocean Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Transocean price analysis, check to measure Transocean's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Transocean is operating at the current time. Most of Transocean's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Transocean's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Transocean's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Transocean to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Transocean's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Transocean. If investors know Transocean will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Transocean listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Transocean is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Transocean that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Transocean's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Transocean's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Transocean's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Transocean's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Transocean's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Transocean value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Transocean's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.