Radware Stock Future Price Prediction

RDWR
 Stock
  

USD 20.95  0.26  1.26%   

Radware stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Radware shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Radware's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Radware and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Radware's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Radware, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Radware Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Radware based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Radware stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Radware over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.29) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.21
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.68
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.86
Wall Street Target Price
26.73
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.16
Using Radware hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Radware from the perspective of Radware response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Radware using Radware's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Radware using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Radware's stock price.
Radware Price to Earnings Ratio are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Radware reported last year Price to Earnings Ratio of 34.52. As of 12/04/2022, Price to Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 4.43, while Book Value per Share is likely to drop 5.43.

Radware Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Radware's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Radware. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Radware stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Radware may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Radware and may potentially protect profits, hedge Radware with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
24.91
Short Percent
0.022
Short Ratio
2.51
Shares Short Prior Month
429.4 K
50 Day MA
21.49
Shares Short
856.9 K

Radware Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Radware's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Radware. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Radware can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Radware. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Radware's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Radware.

Radware Implied Volatility

    
  205.8  
Radware's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Radware stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Radware's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Radware stock will not fluctuate a lot when Radware's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Radware. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Radware to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Radware because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Radware after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Radware contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Radware will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 12.86% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With Radware trading at USD20.95, that is roughly USD2.69. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Radware's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Radware options at the current volatility level of 205.8%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Radware's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Radware in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
15.5818.7321.88
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.0016.6420.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.05-0.04-0.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Radware. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Radware's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Radware's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Radware.

Radware After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Radware at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Radware or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Radware, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Radware Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Radware's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Radware's historical news coverage. Radware's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.54 and 23.84, respectively. We have considered Radware's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 20.95
20.69
After-hype Price
23.84
Upside
Radware is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Radware is based on 3 months time horizon.

Radware Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Radware is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Radware backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Radware, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02  3.15  0.00   0.01  5 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.9520.690.00 
5,250  

Radware Hype Timeline

Radware is at this time traded for 20.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Radware anticipated not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Radware is about 455.58%. The volatility of related hype on Radware is about 455.58% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 20.96. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Radware was at this time reported as 7.59. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 105.65. Radware had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 15th of April 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days.
Additionally, take a look at Radware Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Radware Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Radware's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Radware's future price movements. Getting to know how Radware rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Radware may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Radware Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Radware price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Radware using various technical indicators. When you analyze Radware charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Radware Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Radware stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Radware, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Radware based on analysis of Radware hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Radware's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Radware's related companies.
 2014 2015 2021 2022 (projected)
Book Value per Share7.466.86.125.43
Asset Turnover0.530.50.450.44

Story Coverage note for Radware

The number of cover stories for Radware depends on current market conditions and Radware's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Radware is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Radware's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Radware Short Properties

Radware's future price predictability will typically decrease when Radware's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Radware often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Radware's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Radware's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47503091.00
Cash And Short Term Investments287889000.00
Additionally, take a look at Radware Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Fund Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Radware price analysis, check to measure Radware's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Radware is operating at the current time. Most of Radware's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Radware's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Radware's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Radware to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Radware's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Radware. If investors know Radware will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Radware listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.29) 
Market Capitalization
927.8 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.039) 
Return On Assets
0.0068
Return On Equity
(0.0043) 
The market value of Radware is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Radware that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Radware's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Radware's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Radware's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Radware's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Radware's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Radware value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Radware's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.