Qantas OTC Stock Future Price Prediction

QABSY
 Stock
  

USD 15.16  0.37  2.38%   

Qantas Airways ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Qantas Airways shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Qantas Airways' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Qantas Airways and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Qantas Airways' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Qantas Airways ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please see Qantas Airways Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Qantas Airways based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Qantas stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Qantas Airways over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.036
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.32
Using Qantas Airways hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Qantas Airways ADR from the perspective of Qantas Airways response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Qantas Airways. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Qantas Airways to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Qantas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Qantas Airways after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 15.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qantas Airways' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Qantas Airways in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.2413.9816.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.9915.7318.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.5216.7219.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Qantas Airways. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Qantas Airways' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Qantas Airways' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Qantas Airways ADR.

Qantas Airways After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Qantas Airways at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Qantas Airways or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Qantas Airways, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Qantas Airways Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Qantas Airways' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Qantas Airways' historical news coverage. Qantas Airways' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.58 and 18.06, respectively. We have considered Qantas Airways' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 15.16
15.32
After-hype Price
18.06
Upside
Qantas Airways is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Qantas Airways ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Qantas Airways OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Qantas Airways is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Qantas Airways backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Qantas Airways, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.37  2.72  0.16    0.26  2 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.1615.321.06 
647.62  

Qantas Airways Hype Timeline

Qantas Airways ADR is at this time traded for 15.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.16 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.26. Qantas is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 15.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is anticipated to be 1.06% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Qantas Airways is about 384.91% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 14.9. The company reported the revenue of 6.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.12 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.57 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projectedpress releasewill be in a few days.
Please see Qantas Airways Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Qantas Airways Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Qantas Airways' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Qantas Airways' future price movements. Getting to know how Qantas Airways rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Qantas Airways may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Qantas Airways Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Qantas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Qantas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Qantas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Qantas Airways Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Qantas Airways stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Qantas Airways ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Qantas Airways based on analysis of Qantas Airways hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Qantas Airways's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Qantas Airways's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Qantas Airways

The number of cover stories for Qantas Airways depends on current market conditions and Qantas Airways' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Qantas Airways is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Qantas Airways' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Qantas Airways Short Properties

Qantas Airways' future price predictability will typically decrease when Qantas Airways' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Qantas Airways ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Qantas Airways' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qantas Airways' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.13
Float Shares374.03M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.51k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.08k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.81%
Please see Qantas Airways Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Qantas Airways ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Qantas Airways' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running Qantas Airways ADR price analysis, check to measure Qantas Airways' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qantas Airways is operating at the current time. Most of Qantas Airways' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qantas Airways' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qantas Airways' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qantas Airways to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Qantas Airways' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Qantas Airways. If investors know Qantas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Qantas Airways listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.036
Market Capitalization
5.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.32
Return On Assets
-0.0572
Return On Equity
-2.9
The market value of Qantas Airways ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Qantas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Qantas Airways' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Qantas Airways' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Qantas Airways' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Qantas Airways' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Qantas Airways' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Qantas Airways value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Qantas Airways' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.