Perficient Stock Future Price Prediction

PRFT
 Stock
  

USD 86.88  1.86  2.10%   

Perficient stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Perficient shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Perficient's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Perficient and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Perficient's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Perficient, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Perficient Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Perficient based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Perficient stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Perficient over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.57
Wall Street Target Price
116.14
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.21
Using Perficient hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perficient from the perspective of Perficient response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Perficient using Perficient's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Perficient using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Perficient's stock price.
Perficient Cash and Equivalents Turnover is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Perficient reported Cash and Equivalents Turnover of 14.14 in 2021. Return on Investment is likely to gain to 18.02 in 2022, whereas EBITDA Margin is likely to drop 9.33 in 2022.

Perficient Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Perficient's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Perficient. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Perficient stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Perficient may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Perficient and may potentially protect profits, hedge Perficient with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
108.47
Short Percent
0.0634
Short Ratio
11.52
Shares Short Prior Month
1.5 M
50 Day MA
94.64
Shares Short
1.6 M

Perficient Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Perficient's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Perficient. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Perficient can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Perficient. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Perficient's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Perficient.

Perficient Implied Volatility

    
  68.38  
Perficient's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Perficient stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Perficient's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Perficient stock will not fluctuate a lot when Perficient's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Perficient. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Perficient to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Perficient because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Perficient after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 86.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Perficient contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Perficient will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.27% per day over the life of the 2022-08-19 option contract. With Perficient trading at $86.88, that is roughly $3.71. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Perficient's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Perficient options at the current volatility level of 68.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Perficient's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Perficient in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
78.19110.32113.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
75.1778.5181.86
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
125.00147.67163.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.862.882.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Perficient. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Perficient's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Perficient's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Perficient.

Perficient After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Perficient at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perficient or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perficient, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Perficient Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Perficient's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perficient's historical news coverage. Perficient's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 83.57 and 90.27, respectively. We have considered Perficient's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 86.88
86.92
After-hype Price
90.27
Upside
Perficient is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perficient is based on 3 months time horizon.

Perficient Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Perficient is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perficient backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perficient, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08  3.35  0.04    0.22  5 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
86.8886.920.05 
670.00  

Perficient Hype Timeline

Perficient is at this time traded for 86.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.22. Perficient is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 86.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is forecasted to be 0.05% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Perficient is about 123.84% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 86.66. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 813.8 M. Net Income was 65.63 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 292.21 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Please check Perficient Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Perficient Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Perficient's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perficient's future price movements. Getting to know how Perficient rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perficient may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Perficient Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Perficient price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perficient using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perficient charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Perficient Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Perficient stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Perficient, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Perficient based on analysis of Perficient hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Perficient's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Perficient's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.330.470.890.97
Interest Coverage7.465.467.547.74

Story Coverage note for Perficient

The number of cover stories for Perficient depends on current market conditions and Perficient's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perficient is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perficient's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Perficient Short Properties

Perficient's future price predictability will typically decrease when Perficient's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perficient often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perficient's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perficient's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.41%
Short Percent Of Float6.10%
Float Shares33.9M
Shares Short Prior Month1.33M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day333.33k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month218.58k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Please check Perficient Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Perficient information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Perficient's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

Complementary Tools for Perficient Stock analysis

When running Perficient price analysis, check to measure Perficient's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Perficient is operating at the current time. Most of Perficient's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Perficient's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Perficient's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Perficient to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Go
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Go
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Go
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Go
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
Is Perficient's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Perficient. If investors know Perficient will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Perficient listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.57
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.21
Return On Assets
0.0979
Return On Equity
0.2
The market value of Perficient is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Perficient that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Perficient's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Perficient's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Perficient's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Perficient's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Perficient's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Perficient value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Perficient's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.