Pro-Assurance Stock Future Price Prediction

PRA
 Stock
  

USD 23.40  0.14  0.60%   

Pro-Assurance Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Pro-Assurance Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Pro-Assurance Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Pro-Assurance Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Pro-Assurance Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pro-Assurance Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Pro-Assurance Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Pro-Assurance Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Pro-Assurance stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Pro-Assurance Corp over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.24
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.86
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.14
Wall Street Target Price
27.33
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.18
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.29
Using Pro-Assurance Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pro-Assurance Corp from the perspective of Pro-Assurance Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pro-Assurance Corp using Pro-Assurance Corp's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pro-Assurance using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pro-Assurance Corp's stock price.
Pro-Assurance Corp Calculated Tax Rate is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 1.95. The current year Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to grow to 7.25, whereas Revenue to Assets are forecasted to decline to 0.17.

Pro-Assurance Corp Implied Volatility

    
  52.35  
Pro-Assurance Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pro-Assurance Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pro-Assurance Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pro-Assurance Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pro-Assurance Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Pro-Assurance Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pro-Assurance Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pro-Assurance because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Pro-Assurance Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 23.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pro-Assurance Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Pro-Assurance Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
23.1625.5227.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
20.1322.4924.86
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
27.0027.5028.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.900.971.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pro-Assurance Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pro-Assurance Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pro-Assurance Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Pro-Assurance Corp.

Pro-Assurance Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pro-Assurance Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pro-Assurance Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Pro-Assurance Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Pro-Assurance Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pro-Assurance Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pro-Assurance Corp's historical news coverage. Pro-Assurance Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.85 and 25.57, respectively. We have considered Pro-Assurance Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 23.40
23.21
After-hype Price
25.57
Upside
Pro-Assurance Corp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pro-Assurance Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pro-Assurance Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Pro-Assurance Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pro-Assurance Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pro-Assurance Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.20  2.35   0.05   0.12  11 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.4023.210.21 
1,022  

Pro-Assurance Corp Hype Timeline

On the 27th of June Pro-Assurance Corp is traded for 23.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Pro-Assurance is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 23.21. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.21% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Pro-Assurance Corp is about 388.43% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 23.52. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.88. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Pro-Assurance Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.96. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 23rd of March 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 28th of December 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 11 days.
Please check Pro-Assurance Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Pro-Assurance Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pro-Assurance Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pro-Assurance Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Pro-Assurance Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pro-Assurance Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Pro-Assurance Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pro-Assurance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pro-Assurance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pro-Assurance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Pro-Assurance Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Pro-Assurance Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pro-Assurance Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pro-Assurance Corp based on analysis of Pro-Assurance Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pro-Assurance Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pro-Assurance Corp's related companies.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Debt to Equity Ratio0.30.32
Book Value per Share30.3926.06

Story Coverage note for Pro-Assurance Corp

The number of cover stories for Pro-Assurance Corp depends on current market conditions and Pro-Assurance Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pro-Assurance Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pro-Assurance Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Pro-Assurance Corp Short Properties

Pro-Assurance Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pro-Assurance Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pro-Assurance Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pro-Assurance Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pro-Assurance Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.09%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.20
Short Percent Of Float1.48%
Float Shares53.38M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day315.77k
Shares Short Prior Month697.52k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month221.66k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.90%
Please check Pro-Assurance Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Pro-Assurance Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Pro-Assurance Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

Complementary Tools for Pro-Assurance Stock analysis

When running Pro-Assurance Corp price analysis, check to measure Pro-Assurance Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pro-Assurance Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Pro-Assurance Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pro-Assurance Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pro-Assurance Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pro-Assurance Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Pro-Assurance Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pro-Assurance Corp. If investors know Pro-Assurance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pro-Assurance Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.24
Market Capitalization
1.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.29
Return On Assets
0.0124
Return On Equity
0.1
The market value of Pro-Assurance Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pro-Assurance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pro-Assurance Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pro-Assurance Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pro-Assurance Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pro-Assurance Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pro-Assurance Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Pro-Assurance Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pro-Assurance Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.