Portland Stock Future Price Prediction

POR
 Stock
  

USD 49.82  1.49  3.08%   

Portland General Electric stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Portland General shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Portland General's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Portland General and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Portland General's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Portland General Electric, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Portland General Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Portland General based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Portland stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Portland General over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.37
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.57
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.84
Wall Street Target Price
53.2
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.88
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.028
Using Portland General hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Portland General Electric from the perspective of Portland General response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Portland General using Portland General's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Portland using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Portland General's stock price.
Portland General Return on Investment is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Portland General reported last year Return on Investment of 6.18. As of 07/03/2022, Revenue to Assets is likely to grow to 0.29, while Long Term Debt to Equity is likely to drop 1.12.

Portland General Implied Volatility

    
  24.45  
Portland General's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Portland General Electric stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Portland General's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Portland General stock will not fluctuate a lot when Portland General's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Portland General. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Portland General to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Portland because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Portland General after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 49.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Portland General's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Portland General in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
49.7551.3752.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
52.3053.9255.54
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
48.0052.6756.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.752.752.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Portland General. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Portland General's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Portland General's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Portland General Electric.

Portland General After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Portland General at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Portland General or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Portland General, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Portland General Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Portland General's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Portland General's historical news coverage. Portland General's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.17 and 51.41, respectively. We have considered Portland General's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 49.82
49.79
After-hype Price
51.41
Upside
Portland General is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Portland General Electric is based on 3 months time horizon.

Portland General Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Portland General is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Portland General backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Portland General, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12  1.62   0.01    0.01  8 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
49.8249.790.06 
2,025  

Portland General Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of July Portland General Electric is traded for 49.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Portland is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 49.79. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.06% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Portland General is about 1421.05% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 49.81. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.61. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Portland General Electric next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 24th of June 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimatedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Please check Portland General Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Portland General Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Portland General's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Portland General's future price movements. Getting to know how Portland General rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Portland General may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Portland General Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Portland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Portland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Portland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Portland General Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Portland General stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Portland General Electric, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Portland General based on analysis of Portland General hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Portland General's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Portland General's related companies.
 2018 2020 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.871.151.12
Interest Coverage2.791.982.58

Story Coverage note for Portland General

The number of cover stories for Portland General depends on current market conditions and Portland General's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Portland General is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Portland General's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Portland General Short Properties

Portland General's future price predictability will typically decrease when Portland General's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Portland General Electric often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Portland General's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Portland General's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.71%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.67
Short Percent Of Float1.93%
Float Shares88.68M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.91M
Shares Short Prior Month1.32M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.13M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.43%
Please check Portland General Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Portland General Electric information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Portland General's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

Complementary Tools for Portland Stock analysis

When running Portland General Electric price analysis, check to measure Portland General's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Portland General is operating at the current time. Most of Portland General's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Portland General's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Portland General's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Portland General to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Portland General's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Portland General. If investors know Portland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Portland General listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.37
Market Capitalization
4.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.028
Return On Assets
0.0232
Return On Equity
0.0773
The market value of Portland General Electric is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Portland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Portland General's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Portland General's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Portland General's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Portland General's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Portland General's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Portland General value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Portland General's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.