Pitney Stock Future Price Prediction

PBI
 Stock
  

USD 2.43  0.22  8.30%   

Pitney Bowes stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Pitney Bowes shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Pitney Bowes' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Pitney Bowes and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Pitney Bowes' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pitney Bowes, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Pitney Bowes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Pitney Bowes based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Pitney stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Pitney Bowes over a specific investment horizon.Using Pitney Bowes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pitney Bowes from the perspective of Pitney Bowes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pitney Bowes using Pitney Bowes' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pitney using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pitney Bowes' stock price.

Pitney Bowes Implied Volatility

    
  79.06  
Pitney Bowes' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pitney Bowes stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pitney Bowes' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pitney Bowes stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pitney Bowes' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Pitney Bowes. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pitney Bowes to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pitney because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Pitney Bowes after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 2.44  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pitney Bowes' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Pitney Bowes in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.004.938.86
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.0012.0012.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pitney Bowes. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pitney Bowes' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pitney Bowes' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Pitney Bowes.

Pitney Bowes After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pitney Bowes at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pitney Bowes or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pitney Bowes, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pitney Bowes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pitney Bowes' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pitney Bowes' historical news coverage. Pitney Bowes' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 6.37, respectively. We have considered Pitney Bowes' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 2.43
2.44
After-hype Price
6.37
Upside
Pitney Bowes is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pitney Bowes is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pitney Bowes Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Pitney Bowes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pitney Bowes backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pitney Bowes, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.57  3.92  0.01   0.01  7 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.432.440.41 
19,600  

Pitney Bowes Hype Timeline

On the 27th of September Pitney Bowes is traded for 2.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Pitney is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 2.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.41% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.57%. The volatility of related hype on Pitney Bowes is about 39200.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.44. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.66 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 35.44 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.12 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Please check Pitney Bowes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Pitney Bowes Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pitney Bowes' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pitney Bowes' future price movements. Getting to know how Pitney Bowes rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pitney Bowes may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CLWClearwater Paper Corp 0.01 6 per month 1.49  0.1  3.15 (3.05)  22.44 

Pitney Bowes Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pitney price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pitney using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pitney charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Pitney Bowes Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Pitney Bowes stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pitney Bowes, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pitney Bowes based on analysis of Pitney Bowes hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pitney Bowes's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pitney Bowes's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Pitney Bowes

The number of cover stories for Pitney Bowes depends on current market conditions and Pitney Bowes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pitney Bowes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pitney Bowes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Pitney Bowes Short Properties

Pitney Bowes' future price predictability will typically decrease when Pitney Bowes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pitney Bowes often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pitney Bowes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pitney Bowes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out6.42%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.20
Short Percent Of Float7.32%
Float Shares202.17M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.04M
Shares Short Prior Month9.98M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.72M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield7.55%
Please check Pitney Bowes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Pitney Bowes information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Pitney Bowes' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running Pitney Bowes price analysis, check to measure Pitney Bowes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pitney Bowes is operating at the current time. Most of Pitney Bowes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pitney Bowes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pitney Bowes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pitney Bowes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Pitney Bowes' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pitney Bowes. If investors know Pitney will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pitney Bowes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Pitney Bowes is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pitney that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pitney Bowes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pitney Bowes' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pitney Bowes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pitney Bowes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pitney Bowes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Pitney Bowes value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pitney Bowes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.