Onemain Stock Future Price Prediction

OMF -  USA Stock  

USD 40.97  0.16  0.39%

Onemain Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Onemain Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Onemain Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Onemain Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Onemain Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Onemain Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Onemain Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Onemain Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Onemain stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Onemain Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Onemain Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Onemain Holdings from the perspective of Onemain Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Onemain Holdings using Onemain Holdings' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Onemain using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Onemain Holdings' stock price.

Onemain Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  50.85  
Onemain Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Onemain Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Onemain Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Onemain Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Onemain Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Onemain Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Onemain Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Onemain because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Onemain Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 41.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Onemain Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Onemain Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
38.0249.9552.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
38.1340.9243.71
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
60.0071.7387.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
10.6010.7410.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Onemain Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Onemain Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Onemain Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Onemain Holdings.

Onemain Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Onemain Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Onemain Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Onemain Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Onemain Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Onemain Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Onemain Holdings' historical news coverage. Onemain Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.75 and 44.33, respectively. We have considered Onemain Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 40.97
41.54
After-hype Price
44.33
Upside
Onemain Holdings is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Onemain Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Onemain Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Onemain Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Onemain Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Onemain Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.29  2.79   0.70   0.06  5 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
40.9741.541.66 
115.77  

Onemain Holdings Hype Timeline

On the 21st of May Onemain Holdings is traded for 40.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.7 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Onemain is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 41.54. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 115.77%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -1.66% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Onemain Holdings is about 1385.11% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 41.03. About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Onemain Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.29. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.5. The firm next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 6th of May 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Please check Onemain Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Onemain Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Onemain Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Onemain Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Onemain Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Onemain Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Onemain Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Onemain price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Onemain using various technical indicators. When you analyze Onemain charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Onemain Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Onemain Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Onemain Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Onemain Holdings based on analysis of Onemain Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Onemain Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Onemain Holdings's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Onemain Holdings

The number of cover stories for Onemain Holdings depends on current market conditions and Onemain Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Onemain Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Onemain Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Onemain Holdings Short Properties

Onemain Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Onemain Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Onemain Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Onemain Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Onemain Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.25%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.30
Short Percent Of Float2.26%
Float Shares122.67M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.71M
Shares Short Prior Month3.82M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.38M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield5.59%
Please check Onemain Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Onemain Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Onemain Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Onemain Stock analysis

When running Onemain Holdings price analysis, check to measure Onemain Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Onemain Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Onemain Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Onemain Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Onemain Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Onemain Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Onemain Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Onemain Holdings. If investors know Onemain will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Onemain Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Onemain Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Onemain that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Onemain Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Onemain Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Onemain Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Onemain Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Onemain Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Onemain Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Onemain Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.