Ocwen Stock Future Price Prediction

OCN -  USA Stock  

USD 23.11  2.81  10.84%

Ocwen Financial Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ocwen Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ocwen Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ocwen Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ocwen Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ocwen Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Ocwen Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ocwen Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ocwen stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ocwen Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using Ocwen Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ocwen Financial Corp from the perspective of Ocwen Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ocwen Financial using Ocwen Financial's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ocwen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ocwen Financial's stock price.

Ocwen Financial Implied Volatility

    
  18.24  
Ocwen Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ocwen Financial Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ocwen Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ocwen Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ocwen Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ocwen Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ocwen Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ocwen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ocwen Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 23.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ocwen Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ocwen Financial in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
20.8030.1334.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17.5022.2527.00
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
48.0052.0056.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.246.246.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ocwen Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ocwen Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ocwen Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Ocwen Financial Corp.

Ocwen Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ocwen Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ocwen Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Ocwen Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Ocwen Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ocwen Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ocwen Financial's historical news coverage. Ocwen Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.40 and 27.90, respectively. We have considered Ocwen Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 23.11
23.15
After-hype Price
27.90
Upside
Ocwen Financial is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ocwen Financial Corp is based on 24 months time horizon.

Ocwen Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Ocwen Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ocwen Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ocwen Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.24  4.36  0.02    0.10  8 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.1123.150.17 
4,844  

Ocwen Financial Hype Timeline

On the 24th of May Ocwen Financial Corp is traded for 23.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Ocwen is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 23.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.17% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Ocwen Financial is about 1003.58% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 23.01. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.05 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 18.08 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 936.47 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Please check Ocwen Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ocwen Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ocwen Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ocwen Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Ocwen Financial rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ocwen Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NDAQNasdaq Inc 1.68 12 per month 1.42  0.0132  2.23 (2.50)  9.50 
NLYAnnaly Capital Management 0.03 5 per month 1.41  0.0024  2.34 (2.54)  11.90 
NOAHNoah Holdings(1.35) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0262)  5.18 (5.00)  41.14 
NTRSNorthern Trust Corp(2.19) 5 per month 1.92  0.0188  3.41 (3.26)  17.88 
OMFOnemain Holdings(0.87) 6 per month 2.49  0.06  4.28 (4.10)  21.05 
PFGPrincipal Financial Group(0.08) 9 per month 2.07  0.0451  3.74 (3.54)  21.73 
PNCPNC Bank(0.75) 9 per month 1.82  0.029  3.27 (2.92)  17.66 
RCIIRent-A-Center(1.86) 6 per month 3.07  0.0027  4.70 (4.62)  29.80 
RJFRaymond James Financial 1.48 9 per month 1.95  0.06  3.25 (3.40)  16.80 

Ocwen Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ocwen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ocwen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ocwen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ocwen Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ocwen Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ocwen Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ocwen Financial based on analysis of Ocwen Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ocwen Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ocwen Financial's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Ocwen Financial

The number of cover stories for Ocwen Financial depends on current market conditions and Ocwen Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ocwen Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ocwen Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ocwen Financial Short Properties

Ocwen Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ocwen Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ocwen Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ocwen Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ocwen Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.09%
Short Percent Of Float4.22%
Float Shares7.54M
Shares Short Prior Month226.46k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day93.19k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month80.67k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Please check Ocwen Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Ocwen Financial Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ocwen Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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When running Ocwen Financial Corp price analysis, check to measure Ocwen Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ocwen Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ocwen Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ocwen Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ocwen Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ocwen Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ocwen Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ocwen Financial. If investors know Ocwen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ocwen Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ocwen Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ocwen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ocwen Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ocwen Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ocwen Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ocwen Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ocwen Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ocwen Financial value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ocwen Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.