New York Stock Future Price Prediction

NYCB -  USA Stock  

USD 9.12  0.38  4.35%

New York Community stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of New York shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of New York's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of New York and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from New York's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with New York Community, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see New York Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of New York based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The New York stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on New York over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.069
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.31
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.39
Wall Street Target Price
12.54
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.32
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.061
Using New York hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of New York Community from the perspective of New York response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards New York using New York's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards New York using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of New York's stock price.
New York Calculated Tax Rate is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 15.00. The current year PPandE Turnover is expected to grow to 7.41, whereas Total Assets Per Share are forecasted to decline to 101.79.

New York Implied Volatility

    
  50.07  
New York's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of New York Community stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if New York's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that New York stock will not fluctuate a lot when New York's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in New York. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in New York to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying New York because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

New York after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 9.17  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of New York's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of New York in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.6110.5712.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6.798.7610.72
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.0014.6219.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (8)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.221.241.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as New York. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against New York's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, New York's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in New York Community.

New York After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of New York at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in New York or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of New York, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

New York Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting New York's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on New York's historical news coverage. New York's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.21 and 11.13, respectively. We have considered New York's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 9.12
9.17
After-hype Price
11.13
Upside
New York is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of New York Community is based on 3 months time horizon.

New York Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as New York is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading New York backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with New York, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.24  1.95  0.05    0.17  8 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.129.170.55 
975.00  

New York Hype Timeline

New York Community is now traded for 9.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. New York is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 9.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.55% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on New York is about 271.59% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 8.95. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.37 B. Net Income was 566 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.35 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Additionally, see New York Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

New York Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to New York's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict New York's future price movements. Getting to know how New York rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how New York may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
WFCWells Fargo(1.52) 12 per month 0.00 (0.1)  3.55 (4.26)  11.23 
VTNRVertex Energy(1.19) 9 per month 5.43  0.13  11.53 (9.66)  30.84 
HDHome Depot 6.30 10 per month 0.00 (0.0277)  2.92 (3.64)  8.63 
MSFTMicrosoft Corp 0.09 10 per month 0.00 (0.0093)  2.97 (4.24)  9.36 
INTCIntel Corp(1.63) 9 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.21 (3.64)  13.88 
HPQHp Inc(1.33) 6 per month 0.00  0.0243  4.02 (4.48)  21.74 
CATCaterpillar(8.63) 11 per month 0.00 (0.0462)  3.20 (4.35)  10.92 
VZVerizon Communications 0.49 8 per month 1.69  0.11  2.30 (2.42)  7.94 
CSCOCisco Systems(1.34) 10 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.73 (3.26)  17.06 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp 1.58 10 per month 2.87  0.11  3.03 (3.96)  11.86 

New York Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine New York price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for New York using various technical indicators. When you analyze New York charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About New York Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of New York stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as New York Community, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of New York based on analysis of New York hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to New York's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to New York's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
PPandE Turnover5.745.886.767.41
Calculated Tax Rate24.5113.0515.015.39

Story Coverage note for New York

The number of cover stories for New York depends on current market conditions and New York's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that New York is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about New York's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

New York Short Properties

New York's future price predictability will typically decrease when New York's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of New York Community often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential New York's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New York's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out11.09%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.68
Short Percent Of Float12.67%
Float Shares459.36M
Shares Short Prior Month44.6M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day7.48M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month8.34M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield7.81%
Additionally, see New York Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the New York Community information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other New York's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Complementary Tools for New York Stock analysis

When running New York Community price analysis, check to measure New York's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New York is operating at the current time. Most of New York's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New York's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New York's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New York to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is New York's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of New York. If investors know New York will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about New York listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.069
Market Capitalization
4.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.061
Return On Assets
0.0102
Return On Equity
0.0884
The market value of New York Community is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of New York that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of New York's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is New York's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because New York's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect New York's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between New York's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine New York value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, New York's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.