Newell Stock Future Price Prediction

NWL
 Stock
  

USD 21.10  0.32  1.49%   

Newell Brands stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Newell Brands shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Newell Brands' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Newell Brands and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Newell Brands' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Newell Brands, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Newell Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Newell Brands based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Newell stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Newell Brands over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.065
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.57
Wall Street Target Price
25.2
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.47
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.065
Using Newell Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Newell Brands from the perspective of Newell Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Newell Brands using Newell Brands' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Newell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Newell Brands' stock price.
Newell Brands Inventory Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Inventory Turnover is estimated at 4.82. Accounts Payable Turnover is expected to hike to 9.08 this year, although the value of Accrued Expenses Turnover will most likely fall to 6.69.

Newell Brands Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Newell Brands' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Newell. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Newell Brands stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Newell Brands may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Newell Brands and may potentially protect profits, hedge Newell Brands with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
21.92
Short Percent
0.074
Short Ratio
7.36
Shares Short Prior Month
20.4 M
50 Day MA
19.69
Shares Short
21 M

Newell Brands Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Newell Brands' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Newell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Newell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Newell Brands. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Newell Brands' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Newell Brands.

Newell Brands Implied Volatility

    
  86.51  
Newell Brands' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Newell Brands stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Newell Brands' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Newell Brands stock will not fluctuate a lot when Newell Brands' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Newell Brands. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Newell Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Newell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Newell Brands after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 21.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Newell contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Newell Brands will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 5.41% per day over the life of the 2022-08-19 option contract. With Newell Brands trading at $21.1, that is roughly $1.14. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Newell Brands' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Newell Brands options at the current volatility level of 86.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Newell Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Newell Brands in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
18.9925.2327.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
20.1322.5224.90
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
25.0030.0035.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.711.731.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Newell Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Newell Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Newell Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Newell Brands.

Newell Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Newell Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Newell Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Newell Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Newell Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Newell Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Newell Brands' historical news coverage. Newell Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.63 and 23.41, respectively. We have considered Newell Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 21.10
21.02
After-hype Price
23.41
Upside
Newell Brands is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Newell Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.

Newell Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Newell Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newell Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newell Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.16  2.39   0.08   0.58  5 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.1021.020.38 
508.51  

Newell Brands Hype Timeline

On the 17th of August 2022 Newell Brands is traded for 21.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.58. Newell is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 21.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.38% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Newell Brands is about 65.98% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 21.68. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Newell Brands was now reported as 9.53. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.47. Newell Brands last dividend was issued on the 27th of May 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of September 1994. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days.
Additionally, see Newell Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Newell Brands Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Newell Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Newell Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Newell Brands rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Newell Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
POOLPool Corp 15.60 6 per month 0.00 (0.0476)  3.70 (5.27)  15.59 
WHRWhirlpool Corp 2.52 10 per month 0.00 (0.05)  3.55 (3.88)  11.54 
BF-BBrown Forman 1.13 10 per month 1.60  0.1  2.89 (1.57)  7.62 
NCTYThe9 Ltd ADR(0.01) 5 per month 8.17  0.0194  13.22 (12.94)  44.30 
NFLXNetflix 13.53 9 per month 2.89  0.10  6.31 (5.10)  13.56 
NKENike Inc(1.49) 11 per month 2.77  0.0001  4.05 (3.74)  11.53 
PEPPepsico(0.94) 9 per month 1.52 (0.0113)  1.66 (1.78)  7.20 
PGProcter Gamble 1.19 9 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.29 (2.67)  9.21 
PMPhilip Morris International 1.07 9 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.41 (3.14)  7.35 

Newell Brands Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Newell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Newell Brands Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Newell Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Newell Brands, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Newell Brands based on analysis of Newell Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Newell Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Newell Brands's related companies.
 2018 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.281.191.08
Interest Coverage3.74.255.69

Story Coverage note for Newell Brands

The number of cover stories for Newell Brands depends on current market conditions and Newell Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Newell Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Newell Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Newell Brands Short Properties

Newell Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Newell Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Newell Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Newell Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newell Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.94%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.92
Short Percent Of Float7.22%
Float Shares410.94M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.12M
Shares Short Prior Month17.98M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.33M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.36%
Additionally, see Newell Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Newell Brands information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Newell Brands' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for Newell Stock analysis

When running Newell Brands price analysis, check to measure Newell Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Newell Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Newell Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Newell Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Newell Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Newell Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Newell Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Newell Brands. If investors know Newell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Newell Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.065
Market Capitalization
8.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.065
Return On Assets
0.0466
Return On Equity
0.18
The market value of Newell Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Newell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Newell Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Newell Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Newell Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Newell Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Newell Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Newell Brands value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Newell Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.