Northwest Stock Future Price Prediction

NWBI
 Stock
  

USD 12.88  0.38  3.04%   

Northwest Bancshares stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Northwest Bancshares shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Northwest Bancshares' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Northwest Bancshares and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Northwest Bancshares' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Northwest Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Northwest Bancshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
Refresh
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Northwest Bancshares based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Northwest stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Northwest Bancshares over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.31
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.91
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.98
Wall Street Target Price
13.2
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.2
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.15
Using Northwest Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northwest Bancshares from the perspective of Northwest Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Northwest Bancshares Cash and Equivalents Turnover is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Cash and Equivalents Turnover was reported at 0.56. The current Revenue to Assets is estimated to increase to 0.0478, while PPandE Turnover is projected to decrease to 3.16.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Northwest Bancshares. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Northwest Bancshares to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Northwest because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Northwest Bancshares after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 12.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northwest Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Northwest Bancshares in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.9713.2114.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.6012.8314.07
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.0013.6014.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.971.081.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Northwest Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Northwest Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Northwest Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Northwest Bancshares.

Northwest Bancshares After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Northwest Bancshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Northwest Bancshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Northwest Bancshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Northwest Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Northwest Bancshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Northwest Bancshares' historical news coverage. Northwest Bancshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.62 and 14.10, respectively. We have considered Northwest Bancshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 12.88
12.86
After-hype Price
14.10
Upside
Northwest Bancshares is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Northwest Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

Northwest Bancshares Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Northwest Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northwest Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Northwest Bancshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.11  1.23   0.03   0.00  8 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.8812.860.16 
455.56  

Northwest Bancshares Hype Timeline

Northwest Bancshares is now traded for 12.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Northwest is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 12.86. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.16% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Northwest Bancshares is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 12.88. About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.07. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Northwest Bancshares has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.9. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 4th of May 2022. The firm had 225:100 split on the 18th of December 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Additionally, see Northwest Bancshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Northwest Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Northwest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northwest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northwest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Northwest Bancshares Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Northwest Bancshares stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Northwest Bancshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Northwest Bancshares based on analysis of Northwest Bancshares hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Northwest Bancshares's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Northwest Bancshares's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
PPandE Turnover3.553.663.533.16
Calculated Tax Rate21.7419.123.2727.68

Story Coverage note for Northwest Bancshares

The number of cover stories for Northwest Bancshares depends on current market conditions and Northwest Bancshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Northwest Bancshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Northwest Bancshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Northwest Bancshares Short Properties

Northwest Bancshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when Northwest Bancshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Northwest Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Northwest Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northwest Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date4th of May 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out5.09%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.80
Short Percent Of Float7.49%
Float Shares125.18M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.16M
Shares Short Prior Month5.98M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month911.05k
Date Short Interest31st of May 2022
Additionally, see Northwest Bancshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Northwest Bancshares information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Northwest Bancshares' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Northwest Stock analysis

When running Northwest Bancshares price analysis, check to measure Northwest Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northwest Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of Northwest Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northwest Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northwest Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northwest Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Go
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Go
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Go
Fund Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Go
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Go
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Go
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Go
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Go
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Go
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Go
Is Northwest Bancshares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northwest Bancshares. If investors know Northwest will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northwest Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.31
Market Capitalization
1.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.15
Return On Assets
0.0099
Return On Equity
0.0929
The market value of Northwest Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northwest that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northwest Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northwest Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northwest Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northwest Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northwest Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Northwest Bancshares value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northwest Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.