Northrop Stock Future Price Prediction


USD 463.70  7.46  1.64%   

Northrop Grumman Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Northrop Grumman shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Northrop Grumman's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Northrop Grumman and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Northrop Grumman's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Northrop Grumman Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Northrop Grumman Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Northrop Grumman based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Northrop stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Northrop Grumman over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Using Northrop Grumman hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northrop Grumman Corp from the perspective of Northrop Grumman response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Northrop Grumman using Northrop Grumman's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Northrop using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Northrop Grumman's stock price.
Northrop Grumman Interest Coverage is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Interest Coverage was at 6.60. The current year Calculated Tax Rate is expected to grow to 25.73, whereas Long Term Debt to Equity is forecasted to decline to 0.96.

Northrop Grumman Implied Volatility

Northrop Grumman's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Northrop Grumman Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Northrop Grumman's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Northrop Grumman stock will not fluctuate a lot when Northrop Grumman's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Northrop Grumman. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Northrop Grumman to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Northrop because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Northrop Grumman after-hype prediction price

  $ 463.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northrop Grumman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Northrop Grumman in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
10 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Northrop Grumman. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Northrop Grumman's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Northrop Grumman's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Northrop Grumman Corp.

Northrop Grumman After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Northrop Grumman at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Northrop Grumman or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Northrop Grumman, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Northrop Grumman Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Northrop Grumman's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Northrop Grumman's historical news coverage. Northrop Grumman's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 461.58 and 464.86, respectively. We have considered Northrop Grumman's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 463.70
After-hype Price
Northrop Grumman is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Northrop Grumman Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Northrop Grumman Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Northrop Grumman is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northrop Grumman backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Northrop Grumman, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08  1.64   0.48    0.10  7 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Northrop Grumman Hype Timeline

On the 26th of June Northrop Grumman Corp is traded for 463.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.48 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Northrop is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 463.22. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 27.15%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.1% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Northrop Grumman is about 129.95% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 463.6. About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 36.22. Northrop Grumman Corp next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 27th of May 2022. The entity had 10000:9035 split on the 31st of March 2011. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimatedpress releasewill be in about 7 days.
Additionally, see Northrop Grumman Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Northrop Grumman Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Northrop Grumman's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Northrop Grumman's future price movements. Getting to know how Northrop Grumman rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Northrop Grumman may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
At Risk
OIO-I Glass(0.56) 6 per month 3.01  0.13  6.17 (4.53)  16.39 
MOG-AMoog Inc(1.42) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0006)  2.99 (3.34)  8.02 
NOVNOV Inc(0.06) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0286)  4.04 (4.72)  14.94 
ODPOffice Depot 1.15 7 per month 0.00 (0.15)  3.52 (4.78)  18.82 
SEESealed Air Corp(1.16) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0192)  3.03 (3.77)  10.01 
SNASnap-On(7.02) 10 per month 0.00  0.0475  3.01 (3.12)  10.78 
REMRFAtlas Salt 0.24 3 per month 4.94  0.13  13.64 (7.83)  49.47 
MMM3M Company(1.17) 7 per month 0.00  0.001  2.17 (2.52)  8.68 
HDHome Depot 6.30 10 per month 0.00 (0.0277)  2.92 (3.64)  8.63 
MSFTMicrosoft Corp(8.92) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0093)  2.97 (4.24)  9.36 

Northrop Grumman Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Northrop price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northrop using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northrop charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Northrop Grumman Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Northrop Grumman stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Northrop Grumman Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Northrop Grumman based on analysis of Northrop Grumman hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Northrop Grumman's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Northrop Grumman's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.451.350.990.96
Interest Coverage7.526.856.69.34

Story Coverage note for Northrop Grumman

The number of cover stories for Northrop Grumman depends on current market conditions and Northrop Grumman's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Northrop Grumman is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Northrop Grumman's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Northrop Grumman Short Properties

Northrop Grumman's future price predictability will typically decrease when Northrop Grumman's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Northrop Grumman Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Northrop Grumman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northrop Grumman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date27th of May 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out1.33%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate6.28
Short Percent Of Float1.33%
Float Shares155.07M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day915.14k
Shares Short Prior Month1.36M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month817.24k
Date Short Interest31st of May 2022
Additionally, see Northrop Grumman Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Northrop Grumman Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Northrop Grumman's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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Is Northrop Grumman's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northrop Grumman. If investors know Northrop will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northrop Grumman listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
Market Capitalization
72.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Northrop Grumman Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northrop that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northrop Grumman's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northrop Grumman's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northrop Grumman's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northrop Grumman's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northrop Grumman's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Northrop Grumman value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northrop Grumman's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.