Nike Stock Future Price Prediction

NKE -  USA Stock  

USD 106.44  2.93  2.68%

Nike Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Nike shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Nike's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nike and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nike's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nike Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Nike Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Nike based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Nike stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Nike over a specific investment horizon. Using Nike hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nike Inc from the perspective of Nike response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nike using Nike's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nike using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nike's stock price.

Nike Implied Volatility

    
  53.27  
Nike's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nike Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nike's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nike stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nike's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Nike. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nike to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nike because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nike after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 107.18  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nike's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Nike in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
96.52135.76138.48
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
140.00184.65202.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (13)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.493.693.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nike. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nike's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nike's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Nike Inc.

Nike After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nike at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nike or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Nike, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Nike Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nike's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nike's historical news coverage. Nike's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 104.46 and 109.90, respectively. We have considered Nike's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 106.44
104.46
Downside
107.18
After-hype Price
109.90
Upside
Nike is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nike Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nike Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Nike is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nike backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nike, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.43  2.74   0.07   0.15  10 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
106.44107.180.06 
1,712  

Nike Hype Timeline

On the 19th of May Nike Inc is traded for 106.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Nike is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 107.18. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.06% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Nike is about 808.52% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 106.59. About 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.89. Nike Inc next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 4th of March 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 24th of December 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 10 days.
Additionally, see Nike Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Nike Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nike's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nike's future price movements. Getting to know how Nike rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nike may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UAUnder Armour(0.21) 9 per month 0.00 (0.09)  5.19 (6.90)  33.18 
LBL Brands 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PGProcter Gamble(0.51) 8 per month 0.00  0.0223  2.54 (2.58)  8.23 
PMPhilip Morris International 2.24 5 per month 0.00  0.07  3.02 (3.29)  9.00 
RLRalph Lauren Corp 0.22 9 per month 0.00 (0.05)  4.68 (6.58)  17.29 
BF-BBrown Forman 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0327  2.10 (3.06)  12.54 
KBSFKBS Fashion Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NUSNu Skin Enterprises 1.07 7 per month 0.00  0.0174  4.24 (5.55)  20.53 
NWLNewell Brands 0.24 6 per month 0.00 (0.0361)  3.54 (3.71)  14.68 

Nike Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nike price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nike using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nike charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nike Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nike stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nike Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nike based on analysis of Nike hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nike's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nike's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Nike

The number of cover stories for Nike depends on current market conditions and Nike's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nike is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nike's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Nike Short Properties

Nike's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nike's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nike Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nike's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nike's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.51%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.13
Short Percent Of Float0.81%
Float Shares1.26B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day8.17M
Shares Short Prior Month9.31M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.61M
Date Short Interest31st of January 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.05%
Additionally, see Nike Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Nike Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nike's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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When running Nike Inc price analysis, check to measure Nike's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nike is operating at the current time. Most of Nike's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nike's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nike's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nike to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nike's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nike. If investors know Nike will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nike listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Nike Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nike that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nike's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nike's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nike's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nike's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nike's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Nike value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nike's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.