The9 Stock Future Price Prediction

NCTY
 Stock
  

USD 1.59  0.05  3.05%   

The9 Ltd ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of The9 shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of The9's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of The9 and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from The9's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The9 Ltd ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see The9 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of The9 based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The The9 stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on The9 over a specific investment horizon.
Wall Street Target Price
3.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
62.21
Using The9 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The9 Ltd ADR from the perspective of The9 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards The9 using The9's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards The9 using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of The9's stock price.

The9 Implied Volatility

    
  120.27  
The9's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of The9 Ltd ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if The9's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that The9 stock will not fluctuate a lot when The9's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in The9. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in The9 to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying The9 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

The9 after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 1.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of The9's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of The9 in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.071.409.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0385271.939.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.401.541.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as The9. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against The9's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, The9's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in The9 Ltd ADR.

The9 After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of The9 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in The9 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of The9, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

The9 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting The9's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on The9's historical news coverage. The9's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 9.62, respectively. We have considered The9's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 1.59
1.66
After-hype Price
9.62
Upside
The9 is abnormally volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of The9 Ltd ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

The9 Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as The9 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading The9 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with The9, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.56  7.96  0.02   0.35  6 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.591.661.22 
26,533  

The9 Hype Timeline

The9 Ltd ADR is now traded for 1.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.35. The9 is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 1.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.22% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on The9 is about 1277.01% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.94. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 135.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (411.23 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (188.65 K). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 6 days.
Additionally, see The9 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

The9 Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to The9's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict The9's future price movements. Getting to know how The9 rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how The9 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

The9 Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine The9 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for The9 using various technical indicators. When you analyze The9 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About The9 Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of The9 stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The9 Ltd ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of The9 based on analysis of The9 hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to The9's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to The9's related companies.

Story Coverage note for The9

The number of cover stories for The9 depends on current market conditions and The9's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that The9 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about The9's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

The9 Short Properties

The9's future price predictability will typically decrease when The9's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The9 Ltd ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential The9's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. The9's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.30%
Float Shares19.08M
Shares Short Prior Month391.55k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day519.57k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month772.72k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Additionally, see The9 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the The9 Ltd ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other The9's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

Complementary Tools for The9 Stock analysis

When running The9 Ltd ADR price analysis, check to measure The9's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy The9 is operating at the current time. Most of The9's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of The9's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move The9's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of The9 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is The9's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of The9. If investors know The9 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about The9 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
38.7 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
62.21
Return On Assets
-0.29
Return On Equity
-1.87
The market value of The9 Ltd ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of The9 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of The9's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is The9's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because The9's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect The9's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between The9's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine The9 value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, The9's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.