Manitowoc Stock Future Price Prediction

MTW
 Stock
  

USD 10.76  0.12  1.10%   

Manitowoc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Manitowoc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Manitowoc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Manitowoc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Manitowoc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Manitowoc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Manitowoc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Manitowoc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Manitowoc stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Manitowoc over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.8
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.75
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.15
Wall Street Target Price
17.94
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.04
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.3
Using Manitowoc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Manitowoc from the perspective of Manitowoc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Manitowoc using Manitowoc's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Manitowoc using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Manitowoc's stock price.
Manitowoc Return on Investment is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Manitowoc reported Return on Investment of 4.59 in 2021. Cash Flow Per Share is likely to climb to 2.34 in 2022, whereas Revenue to Assets are likely to drop 0.93 in 2022.

Manitowoc Implied Volatility

    
  36.28  
Manitowoc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Manitowoc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Manitowoc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Manitowoc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Manitowoc's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Manitowoc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Manitowoc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Manitowoc because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Manitowoc after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 10.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Manitowoc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Manitowoc in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.6013.9217.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.729.0312.35
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
16.0025.0031.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.450.550.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Manitowoc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Manitowoc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Manitowoc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Manitowoc.

Manitowoc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Manitowoc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Manitowoc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Manitowoc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Manitowoc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Manitowoc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Manitowoc's historical news coverage. Manitowoc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.19 and 13.83, respectively. We have considered Manitowoc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 10.76
10.51
After-hype Price
13.83
Upside
Manitowoc is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Manitowoc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Manitowoc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Manitowoc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Manitowoc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Manitowoc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.52  3.32   0.25   0.13  9 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.7610.512.32 
677.55  

Manitowoc Hype Timeline

On the 28th of June Manitowoc is traded for 10.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Manitowoc is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 10.51. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -2.32% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Manitowoc is about 1371.9% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.89. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.56. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Manitowoc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 24th of November 2015. The firm had 2:1 split on the 20th of November 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Additionally, see Manitowoc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Manitowoc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Manitowoc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Manitowoc's future price movements. Getting to know how Manitowoc rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Manitowoc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DEDeere Company 5.39 9 per month 0.00 (0.1)  2.62 (4.55)  16.69 
HYHyster Yale Materials(0.43) 9 per month 0.00  0.0428  3.57 (4.07)  19.73 
CATCaterpillar 0.29 9 per month 0.00 (0.0274)  3.20 (4.35)  10.92 
BABoeing Company 2.37 10 per month 0.00 (0.07)  5.64 (5.07)  16.31 
DISWalt Disney 1.41 7 per month 0.00 (0.17)  3.29 (3.78)  8.79 
BACBank Of America 0.16 3 per month 0.00 (0.12)  3.38 (3.49)  9.79 
CVXChevron Corp 0.1 8 per month 0.00  0.0199  3.06 (4.60)  10.25 
IBMInternational Business Machines(0.1) 9 per month 1.39  0.20  2.47 (2.47)  11.05 
HDHome Depot(9.61) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0191)  2.92 (3.64)  8.63 
AAAlcoa Corp 2.84 8 per month 0.00 (0.17)  5.10 (6.70)  21.93 

Manitowoc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Manitowoc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Manitowoc using various technical indicators. When you analyze Manitowoc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Manitowoc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Manitowoc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Manitowoc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Manitowoc based on analysis of Manitowoc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Manitowoc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Manitowoc's related companies.
 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.470.60.62
Interest Coverage1.261.531.81

Story Coverage note for Manitowoc

The number of cover stories for Manitowoc depends on current market conditions and Manitowoc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Manitowoc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Manitowoc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Manitowoc Short Properties

Manitowoc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Manitowoc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Manitowoc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Manitowoc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manitowoc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.05%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.08
Short Percent Of Float3.44%
Float Shares34.21M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day214.01k
Shares Short Prior Month994.96k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month251.15k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.76%
Additionally, see Manitowoc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Manitowoc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Manitowoc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

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Is Manitowoc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Manitowoc. If investors know Manitowoc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Manitowoc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.8
Market Capitalization
384.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.3
Return On Assets
0.0329
Return On Equity
0.0266
The market value of Manitowoc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Manitowoc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Manitowoc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Manitowoc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Manitowoc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Manitowoc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Manitowoc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Manitowoc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Manitowoc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.