Miniso Stock Future Price Prediction

MNSO
 Stock
  

USD 10.52  0.76  7.79%   

Miniso Group Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Miniso Group shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Miniso Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Miniso Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Miniso Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Miniso Group Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Miniso Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Miniso Group based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Miniso stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Miniso Group over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.75
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.12
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.3
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.47
Wall Street Target Price
11.15
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.13
Using Miniso Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Miniso Group Holding from the perspective of Miniso Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Miniso Group using Miniso Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Miniso using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Miniso Group's stock price.

Miniso Group Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Miniso Group's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Miniso. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Miniso Group stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Miniso Group may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Miniso Group and may potentially protect profits, hedge Miniso Group with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
6.91
Short Percent
0.086
Short Ratio
4.59
Shares Short Prior Month
3.9 M
50 Day MA
6.24
Shares Short
4.1 M

Miniso Group Holding Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Miniso Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Miniso. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Miniso can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Miniso Group Holding. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Miniso Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Miniso Group.

Miniso Group Implied Volatility

    
  79.95  
Miniso Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Miniso Group Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Miniso Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Miniso Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Miniso Group's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Miniso Group. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Miniso Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Miniso because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Miniso Group after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 9.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Miniso Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Miniso Group in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.3311.7918.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.639.0915.56
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
18.9018.9018.90
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.400.400.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Miniso Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Miniso Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Miniso Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Miniso Group Holding.

Miniso Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Miniso Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Miniso Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Miniso Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Miniso Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Miniso Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Miniso Group's historical news coverage. Miniso Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.24 and 16.16, respectively. We have considered Miniso Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 10.52
9.70
After-hype Price
16.16
Upside
Miniso Group is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Miniso Group Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Miniso Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Miniso Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Miniso Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Miniso Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.98  6.52   0.07    6.19  9 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.529.700.61 
9,314  

Miniso Group Hype Timeline

Miniso Group Holding is now traded for 10.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -6.19. Miniso is projected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 9.7. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.61% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.98%. The volatility of related hype on Miniso Group is about 103.23% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.33. About 18.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Miniso Group Holding last dividend was issued on the 30th of August 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Additionally, see Miniso Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Miniso Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Miniso Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Miniso Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Miniso Group rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Miniso Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Miniso Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Miniso price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Miniso using various technical indicators. When you analyze Miniso charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Miniso Group Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Miniso Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Miniso Group Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Miniso Group based on analysis of Miniso Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Miniso Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Miniso Group's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Miniso Group

The number of cover stories for Miniso Group depends on current market conditions and Miniso Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Miniso Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Miniso Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Miniso Group Short Properties

Miniso Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Miniso Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Miniso Group Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Miniso Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Miniso Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.23%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.01
Float Shares87.72M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.54M
Shares Short Prior Month6.47M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month784.97k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield10.87%
Additionally, see Miniso Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Miniso Group Holding price analysis, check to measure Miniso Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Miniso Group is operating at the current time. Most of Miniso Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Miniso Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Miniso Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Miniso Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Miniso Group's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Miniso Group. If investors know Miniso will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Miniso Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.75
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.045
Return On Assets
0.0599
Return On Equity
0.13
The market value of Miniso Group Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Miniso that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Miniso Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Miniso Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Miniso Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Miniso Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Miniso Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Miniso Group value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Miniso Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.