Mustang Stock Future Price Prediction

MBIO
 Stock
  

USD 0.59  0.02  3.28%   

Mustang Bio stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Mustang Bio shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Mustang Bio's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mustang Bio and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mustang Bio's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mustang Bio, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Mustang Bio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Mustang Bio based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Mustang stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Mustang Bio over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Current Year
-0.85
EPS Estimate Next Year
-0.96
Wall Street Target Price
7.2
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
-0.18
Using Mustang Bio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mustang Bio from the perspective of Mustang Bio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Mustang Bio using Mustang Bio's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Mustang using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Mustang Bio's stock price.
Mustang Bio Tangible Assets Book Value per Share are quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Tangible Assets Book Value per Share is estimated at 1.60

Mustang Bio Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Mustang Bio's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mustang Bio stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mustang Bio's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mustang Bio stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mustang Bio's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Mustang Bio. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mustang Bio to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mustang because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mustang Bio after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 0.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mustang Bio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mustang Bio in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.142.898.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.012650.636.32
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
7.009.8013.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.75-0.74-0.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mustang Bio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mustang Bio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mustang Bio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Mustang Bio.

Mustang Bio After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mustang Bio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mustang Bio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Mustang Bio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Mustang Bio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mustang Bio's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mustang Bio's historical news coverage. Mustang Bio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 6.29, respectively. We have considered Mustang Bio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 0.59
0.61
After-hype Price
6.29
Upside
Mustang Bio is very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mustang Bio is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mustang Bio Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Mustang Bio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mustang Bio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mustang Bio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.81  5.68  0.02   0.00  6 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.590.613.39 
18,933  

Mustang Bio Hype Timeline

Mustang Bio is now traded for 0.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Mustang is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 0.61 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is forecasted to be 3.39% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.81%. The volatility of related hype on Mustang Bio is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 0.59. The company currently holds 2.03 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 6 days.
Additionally, see Mustang Bio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mustang Bio Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mustang price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mustang using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mustang charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mustang Bio Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mustang Bio stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mustang Bio, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mustang Bio based on analysis of Mustang Bio hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mustang Bio's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mustang Bio's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Current Ratio8.1210.4610.339.69
Book Value per Share1.431.871.281.41

Story Coverage note for Mustang Bio

The number of cover stories for Mustang Bio depends on current market conditions and Mustang Bio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mustang Bio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mustang Bio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Mustang Bio Short Properties

Mustang Bio's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mustang Bio's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mustang Bio often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mustang Bio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mustang Bio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.69%
Short Percent Of Float4.68%
Float Shares78.42M
Shares Short Prior Month3.83M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.46M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.09M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Additionally, see Mustang Bio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Mustang Bio information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mustang Bio's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Complementary Tools for Mustang Stock analysis

When running Mustang Bio price analysis, check to measure Mustang Bio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mustang Bio is operating at the current time. Most of Mustang Bio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mustang Bio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mustang Bio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mustang Bio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mustang Bio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mustang Bio. If investors know Mustang will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mustang Bio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
61.1 M
Return On Assets
-0.32
Return On Equity
-0.62
The market value of Mustang Bio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mustang that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mustang Bio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mustang Bio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mustang Bio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mustang Bio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mustang Bio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mustang Bio value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mustang Bio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.