Limelight Stock Future Price Prediction

LLNW -  USA Stock  

USD 2.90  0.07  2.36%

Limelight Networks stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Limelight Networks shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Limelight Networks' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Limelight Networks and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Limelight Networks' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Limelight Networks, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Limelight Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Limelight Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Limelight Networks based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Limelight stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Limelight Networks over a specific investment horizon. Using Limelight Networks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Limelight Networks from the perspective of Limelight Networks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Limelight Networks using Limelight Networks' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Limelight using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Limelight Networks' stock price.
Limelight Networks Sales per Share is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Limelight Networks reported Sales per Share of 1.90 in 2020

Limelight Networks Implied Volatility

    
  288.27  
Limelight Networks' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Limelight Networks stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Limelight Networks' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Limelight Networks stock will not fluctuate a lot when Limelight Networks' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Limelight Networks. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Limelight Networks to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Limelight because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Limelight Networks after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 2.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Limelight Networks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Limelight Networks in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.233.326.41
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
3.003.805.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.26-0.25-0.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Limelight Networks. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Limelight Networks' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Limelight Networks' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Limelight Networks.

Limelight Networks After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Limelight Networks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Limelight Networks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Limelight Networks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Limelight Networks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Limelight Networks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Limelight Networks' historical news coverage. Limelight Networks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 6.00, respectively. We have considered Limelight Networks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.90
29th of November 2021
2.91
After-hype Price
6.00
Upside
Limelight Networks is relatively risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Limelight Networks is based on 3 months time horizon.

Limelight Networks Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Limelight Networks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Limelight Networks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Limelight Networks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.16  3.09  0.01   0.88  8 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.902.910.34 
5,150  

Limelight Networks Hype Timeline

Limelight Networks is now traded for 2.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.88. Limelight is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 2.91 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is forecasted to be 0.34% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Limelight Networks is about 56.39% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.02. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 214.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (51.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 104.69 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimatedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Additionally, see Limelight Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Limelight Networks Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Limelight Networks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Limelight Networks' future price movements. Getting to know how Limelight Networks rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Limelight Networks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Limelight Networks Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Limelight price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Limelight using various technical indicators. When you analyze Limelight charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Limelight Networks Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Limelight Networks stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Limelight Networks, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Limelight Networks based on analysis of Limelight Networks hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Limelight Networks's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Limelight Networks's related companies.
 2020 2021 (projected)
Calculated Tax Rate4.664.63
Long Term Debt to Equity0.520.56

Story Coverage note for Limelight Networks

The number of cover stories for Limelight Networks depends on current market conditions and Limelight Networks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Limelight Networks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Limelight Networks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Limelight Networks Short Properties

Limelight Networks' future price predictability will typically decrease when Limelight Networks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Limelight Networks often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Limelight Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Limelight Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out5.45%
Short Percent Of Float5.65%
Float Shares120.78M
Shares Short Prior Month7.72M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.31M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.32M
Date Short Interest15th of September 2021
Additionally, see Limelight Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Limelight Networks information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Limelight Networks' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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Is Limelight Networks' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Limelight Networks. If investors know Limelight will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Limelight Networks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Limelight Networks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Limelight that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Limelight Networks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Limelight Networks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Limelight Networks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Limelight Networks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Limelight Networks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Limelight Networks value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Limelight Networks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.