Lightinthebox Stock Future Price Prediction

LITB -  USA Stock  

USD 1.16  0.01  0.85%

Lightinthebox Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lightinthebox Holding shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lightinthebox Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lightinthebox Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lightinthebox Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lightinthebox Holding Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Lightinthebox Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lightinthebox Holding based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lightinthebox stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lightinthebox Holding over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.054
Wall Street Target Price
3.0
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.15
Using Lightinthebox Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lightinthebox Holding Co from the perspective of Lightinthebox Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Lightinthebox Holding Asset Turnover is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Asset Turnover was at 2.67. The current year Current Ratio is expected to grow to 0.95, whereas Book Value per Share is forecasted to decline to 0.54.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lightinthebox Holding. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lightinthebox Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lightinthebox because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lightinthebox Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 1.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lightinthebox Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Lightinthebox Holding in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.081.625.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0236031.184.65
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
3.003.003.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.111.161.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lightinthebox Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lightinthebox Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lightinthebox Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Lightinthebox Holding.

Lightinthebox Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lightinthebox Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lightinthebox Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Lightinthebox Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Lightinthebox Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lightinthebox Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lightinthebox Holding's historical news coverage. Lightinthebox Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 4.63, respectively. We have considered Lightinthebox Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 1.16
1.16
After-hype Price
4.63
Upside
Lightinthebox Holding is very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lightinthebox Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lightinthebox Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Lightinthebox Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lightinthebox Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lightinthebox Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.18  3.47  0.00    0.07  1 Events / Month7 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.161.160.00 
34,700  

Lightinthebox Holding Hype Timeline

Lightinthebox Holding is now traded for 1.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.07. Lightinthebox anticipated not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.18%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Lightinthebox Holding is about 872.35%. The volatility of related hype on Lightinthebox Holding is about 872.35% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.09. The book value of the company was now reported as 0.49. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipatedpress releasewill be very soon.
Additionally, see Lightinthebox Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lightinthebox Holding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lightinthebox Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lightinthebox Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Lightinthebox Holding rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lightinthebox Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VTNRVertex Energy(1.19) 9 per month 5.43  0.13  11.53 (9.66)  30.84 
MMM3M Company(0.23) 8 per month 0.00  0.001  2.17 (2.52)  8.68 
EBAYEBay Inc(0.42) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0406)  3.70 (4.22)  15.02 
TATT Inc 0.21 9 per month 1.37  0.25  2.99 (2.47)  12.23 
MOGUMogu Inc ADR(0.05) 3 per month 0.00 (0.08)  10.42 (10.12)  43.97 
BABAAlibaba Group Holding(2.12) 8 per month 3.95  0.06  6.81 (6.67)  25.09 
BABoeing Company 2.37 10 per month 0.00 (0.07)  5.64 (5.07)  16.31 
KOCoca-Cola 0.68 7 per month 1.77  0.15  1.87 (2.01)  10.05 
ETSYEtsy Inc(2.83) 9 per month 0.00 (0.10)  7.85 (8.70)  25.58 

Lightinthebox Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lightinthebox price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lightinthebox using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lightinthebox charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lightinthebox Holding Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lightinthebox Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lightinthebox Holding Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lightinthebox Holding based on analysis of Lightinthebox Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lightinthebox Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lightinthebox Holding's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Lightinthebox Holding

The number of cover stories for Lightinthebox Holding depends on current market conditions and Lightinthebox Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lightinthebox Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lightinthebox Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lightinthebox Holding Short Properties

Lightinthebox Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lightinthebox Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lightinthebox Holding Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lightinthebox Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lightinthebox Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.57%
Float Shares55.11M
Shares Short Prior Month965.31k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day41.55k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month73k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Additionally, see Lightinthebox Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Lightinthebox Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lightinthebox Holding's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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Is Lightinthebox Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lightinthebox Holding. If investors know Lightinthebox will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lightinthebox Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.054
Market Capitalization
132.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.15
Return On Assets
-0.057
Return On Equity
0.24
The market value of Lightinthebox Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lightinthebox that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lightinthebox Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lightinthebox Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lightinthebox Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lightinthebox Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lightinthebox Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lightinthebox Holding value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lightinthebox Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.