Li-Cycle Stock Future Price Prediction

LICY
 Stock
  

USD 6.02  0.35  6.17%   

Li-Cycle Holdings Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Li-Cycle Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Li-Cycle Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Li-Cycle Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Li-Cycle Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Li-Cycle Holdings Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Li-Cycle Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Li-Cycle Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Li-Cycle stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Li-Cycle Holdings over a specific investment horizon.Using Li-Cycle Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Li-Cycle Holdings Corp from the perspective of Li-Cycle Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Li-Cycle Holdings using Li-Cycle Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Li-Cycle using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Li-Cycle Holdings' stock price.

Li-Cycle Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  80.9  
Li-Cycle Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Li-Cycle Holdings Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Li-Cycle Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Li-Cycle Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Li-Cycle Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Li-Cycle Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Li-Cycle Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Li-Cycle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Li-Cycle Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 6.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Li-Cycle contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Li-Cycle Holdings Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 5.06% per day over the life of the 2022-10-21 option contract. With Li-Cycle Holdings trading at $6.02, that is roughly $0.3. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Li-Cycle Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Li-Cycle Holdings Corp options at the current volatility level of 80.9%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Li-Cycle Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Li-Cycle Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3.858.0612.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.325.549.75
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.0014.5717.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.736.937.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Li-Cycle Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Li-Cycle Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Li-Cycle Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Li-Cycle Holdings Corp.

Li-Cycle Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Li-Cycle Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Li-Cycle Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Li-Cycle Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Li-Cycle Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Li-Cycle Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Li-Cycle Holdings' historical news coverage. Li-Cycle Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.81 and 10.23, respectively. We have considered Li-Cycle Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 6.02
6.02
After-hype Price
10.23
Upside
Li-Cycle Holdings is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Li-Cycle Holdings Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Li-Cycle Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Li-Cycle Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Li-Cycle Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Li-Cycle Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13  4.23  0.10   0.00  9 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.026.020.00 
528.75  

Li-Cycle Holdings Hype Timeline

Li-Cycle Holdings Corp is now traded for 6.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Li-Cycle forecasted not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.13%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Li-Cycle Holdings is about 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Li-Cycle Holdings is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.02. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 10.81. Li-Cycle Holdings Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Additionally, see Li-Cycle Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Li-Cycle Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Li-Cycle Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Li-Cycle Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Li-Cycle Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Li-Cycle Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DLCRKibush Capital Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  190.48 

Li-Cycle Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Li-Cycle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Li-Cycle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Li-Cycle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Li-Cycle Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Li-Cycle Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Li-Cycle Holdings Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Li-Cycle Holdings based on analysis of Li-Cycle Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Li-Cycle Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Li-Cycle Holdings's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Li-Cycle Holdings

The number of cover stories for Li-Cycle Holdings depends on current market conditions and Li-Cycle Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Li-Cycle Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Li-Cycle Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Li-Cycle Holdings Short Properties

Li-Cycle Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Li-Cycle Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Li-Cycle Holdings Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Li-Cycle Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Li-Cycle Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.49%
Short Percent Of Float5.77%
Float Shares126.09M
Shares Short Prior Month5.56M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.5M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.72M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Additionally, see Li-Cycle Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Li-Cycle Holdings Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Li-Cycle Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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Is Li-Cycle Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Li-Cycle Holdings. If investors know Li-Cycle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Li-Cycle Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Li-Cycle Holdings Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Li-Cycle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Li-Cycle Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Li-Cycle Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Li-Cycle Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Li-Cycle Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Li-Cycle Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Li-Cycle Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Li-Cycle Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.