LCI Industries Stock Future Price Prediction

LCII
 Stock
  

USD 102.84  2.30  2.29%   

LCI Industries stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of LCI Industries shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of LCI Industries' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of LCI Industries and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from LCI Industries' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LCI Industries, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see LCI Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of LCI Industries based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The LCI Industries stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on LCI Industries over a specific investment horizon.Using LCI Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LCI Industries from the perspective of LCI Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LCI Industries using LCI Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards LCI Industries using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LCI Industries' stock price.

LCI Industries Implied Volatility

    
  52.14  
LCI Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LCI Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LCI Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LCI Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when LCI Industries' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in LCI Industries. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LCI Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LCI Industries because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

LCI Industries after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 103.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current LCI Industries contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that LCI Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.26% per day over the life of the 2022-10-21 option contract. With LCI Industries trading at $102.84, that is roughly $3.35. If you think that the market is fully incorporating LCI Industries' daily price movement you should consider acquiring LCI Industries options at the current volatility level of 52.14%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of LCI Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of LCI Industries in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
92.56126.65129.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
98.50101.39104.27
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
160.00170.00178.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.68120.70131.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LCI Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LCI Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LCI Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in LCI Industries.

LCI Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of LCI Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LCI Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LCI Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

LCI Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting LCI Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LCI Industries' historical news coverage. LCI Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 100.43 and 106.21, respectively. We have considered LCI Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 102.84
100.43
Downside
103.32
After-hype Price
106.21
Upside
LCI Industries is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LCI Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.

LCI Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as LCI Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LCI Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LCI Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09  2.90  0.36   0.00  7 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
102.84103.320.47 
73.23  

LCI Industries Hype Timeline

LCI Industries is now traded for 102.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.36 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. LCI Industries is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 103.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 73.23%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.47% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on LCI Industries is about 353658.54% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 102.84. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.12 B. Net Income was 409.8 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.04 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Additionally, see LCI Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

LCI Industries Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to LCI Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LCI Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how LCI Industries rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LCI Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DLCRKibush Capital Corp(0.00082) 5 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  190.48 

LCI Industries Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LCI Industries price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LCI Industries using various technical indicators. When you analyze LCI Industries charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About LCI Industries Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of LCI Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LCI Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LCI Industries based on analysis of LCI Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LCI Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LCI Industries's related companies.

Story Coverage note for LCI Industries

The number of cover stories for LCI Industries depends on current market conditions and LCI Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LCI Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LCI Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

LCI Industries Short Properties

LCI Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when LCI Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LCI Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LCI Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LCI Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out7.17%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.80
Short Percent Of Float10.28%
Float Shares24.63M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day125.56k
Shares Short Prior Month1.66M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month163.45k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.58%
Additionally, see LCI Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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When running LCI Industries price analysis, check to measure LCI Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LCI Industries is operating at the current time. Most of LCI Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LCI Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LCI Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LCI Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is LCI Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LCI Industries. If investors know LCI Industries will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LCI Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of LCI Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LCI Industries that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LCI Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LCI Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LCI Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LCI Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LCI Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine LCI Industries value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LCI Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.