Kirklands Stock Future Price Prediction

KIRK
 Stock
  

USD 4.02  0.20  5.24%   

Kirklands stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kirklands shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kirklands' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kirklands and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kirklands' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kirklands, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please see Kirklands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kirklands based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Kirklands stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kirklands over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.34) 
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.26
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.23
Wall Street Target Price
9.83
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.28) 
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.11) 
Using Kirklands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kirklands from the perspective of Kirklands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kirklands using Kirklands' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kirklands using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kirklands' stock price.
Kirklands Cash and Equivalents Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The last year's value of Cash and Equivalents Turnover was reported at 4.87. The current Revenue to Assets is estimated to increase to 2.40, while Accrued Expenses Turnover is projected to decrease to 17.50.

Kirklands Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Kirklands' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kirklands. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kirklands stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Kirklands may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kirklands and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kirklands with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
6.16
Short Percent
0.16
Short Ratio
6.33
Shares Short Prior Month
2.1 M
50 Day MA
3.65
Shares Short
M

Kirklands Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Kirklands' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Kirklands. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kirklands can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kirklands. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kirklands' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kirklands.

Kirklands Implied Volatility

    
  115.76  
Kirklands' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kirklands stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kirklands' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kirklands stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kirklands' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Kirklands. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kirklands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kirklands because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kirklands after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 4.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kirklands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Kirklands in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3.629.0713.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.083.978.82
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
25.0025.0025.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.553.904.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kirklands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kirklands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kirklands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Kirklands.

Kirklands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kirklands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kirklands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kirklands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kirklands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kirklands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kirklands' historical news coverage. Kirklands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 8.86, respectively. We have considered Kirklands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 4.02
4.01
After-hype Price
8.86
Upside
Kirklands is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kirklands is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kirklands Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Kirklands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kirklands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kirklands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.16  4.81   0.01   0.72  7 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.024.010.25 
6,871  

Kirklands Hype Timeline

Kirklands is now traded for 4.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.72. Kirklands is projected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 4.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.25% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Kirklands is about 106.85% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.74. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.61. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kirklands last dividend was issued on the 3rd of June 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Please see Kirklands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kirklands Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kirklands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kirklands' future price movements. Getting to know how Kirklands rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kirklands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Kirklands Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kirklands price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kirklands using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kirklands charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kirklands Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kirklands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kirklands, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kirklands based on analysis of Kirklands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kirklands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kirklands's related companies.
 2014 2019 2021 2022 (projected)
Calculated Tax Rate34.9538.1934.3733.54
Interest Coverage18.28104.15119.77179.13

Story Coverage note for Kirklands

The number of cover stories for Kirklands depends on current market conditions and Kirklands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kirklands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kirklands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Kirklands Short Properties

Kirklands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kirklands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kirklands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kirklands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kirklands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out16.69%
Short Percent Of Float21.06%
Float Shares8.7M
Shares Short Prior Month2.15M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day226.37k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month530.5k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022
Please see Kirklands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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When running Kirklands price analysis, check to measure Kirklands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kirklands is operating at the current time. Most of Kirklands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kirklands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kirklands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kirklands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Kirklands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kirklands. If investors know Kirklands will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kirklands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.34) 
Market Capitalization
51.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.11) 
Return On Assets
(0.0162) 
Return On Equity
(0.22) 
The market value of Kirklands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kirklands that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kirklands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kirklands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kirklands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kirklands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kirklands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Kirklands value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kirklands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.