Irobot Stock Future Price Prediction

IRBT
 Stock
  

USD 52.09  0.73  1.42%   

Irobot Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Irobot Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Irobot Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Irobot Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Irobot Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Irobot Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please see Irobot Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Irobot Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Irobot stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Irobot Corp over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.37) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.55
EPS Estimate Current Year
(3.44) 
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.52) 
Wall Street Target Price
53.75
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.68
Using Irobot Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Irobot Corp from the perspective of Irobot Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Irobot Corp using Irobot Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Irobot using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Irobot Corp's stock price.
Irobot Corp Cash Flow Per Share is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Irobot Corp reported Cash Flow Per Share of -1.18 in 2021. Revenue to Assets is likely to gain to 1.37 in 2022, whereas Total Assets Per Share are likely to drop 36.11 in 2022.

Irobot Corp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Irobot Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Irobot. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Irobot Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Irobot Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Irobot Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Irobot Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
53.22
Short Percent
0.31
Short Ratio
15.78
Shares Short Prior Month
5.6 M
50 Day MA
55.52
Shares Short
5.9 M

Irobot Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Irobot Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Irobot. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Irobot can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Irobot Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Irobot Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Irobot Corp.

Irobot Corp Implied Volatility

    
  81.32  
Irobot Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Irobot Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Irobot Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Irobot Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Irobot Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Irobot Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Irobot Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Irobot because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Irobot Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 52.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Irobot contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Irobot Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 5.08% per day over the life of the 2022-12-02 option contract. With Irobot Corp trading at $52.09, that is roughly $2.65. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Irobot Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Irobot Corp options at the current volatility level of 81.32%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Irobot Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Irobot Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
46.8860.1360.92
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
74.0082.75100.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.630.650.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Irobot Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Irobot Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Irobot Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Irobot Corp.

Irobot Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Irobot Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Irobot Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Irobot Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Irobot Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Irobot Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Irobot Corp's historical news coverage. Irobot Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.25 and 52.83, respectively. We have considered Irobot Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 52.09
52.04
After-hype Price
52.83
Upside
Irobot Corp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Irobot Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Irobot Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Irobot Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Irobot Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Irobot Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19  0.79   0.05    0.18  6 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
52.0952.040.10 
316.00  

Irobot Corp Hype Timeline

Irobot Corp is currently traded for 52.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. Irobot is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 52.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.1% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Irobot Corp is about 82.29% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 51.91. About 110.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Irobot Corp was currently reported as 20.54. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.27. Irobot Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Please see Irobot Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Irobot Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Irobot Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Irobot Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Irobot Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Irobot Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Irobot Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Irobot price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Irobot using various technical indicators. When you analyze Irobot charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Irobot Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Irobot Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Irobot Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Irobot Corp based on analysis of Irobot Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Irobot Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Irobot Corp's related companies.
 2012 2016 2017 2022 (projected)
Receivables Turnover9.487.448.199.3
PPandE Turnover20.1924.3624.5223.53

Story Coverage note for Irobot Corp

The number of cover stories for Irobot Corp depends on current market conditions and Irobot Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Irobot Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Irobot Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Irobot Corp Short Properties

Irobot Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Irobot Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Irobot Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Irobot Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Irobot Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out21.70%
Short Percent Of Float31.16%
Float Shares23.88M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day316.74k
Shares Short Prior Month5.87M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month621.48k
Date Short Interest15th of November 2022
Please see Irobot Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Irobot Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Irobot Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running Irobot Corp price analysis, check to measure Irobot Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Irobot Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Irobot Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Irobot Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Irobot Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Irobot Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Irobot Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Irobot Corp. If investors know Irobot will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Irobot Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.37) 
Market Capitalization
1.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.37) 
Return On Assets
(0.10) 
Return On Equity
(0.36) 
The market value of Irobot Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Irobot that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Irobot Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Irobot Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Irobot Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Irobot Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Irobot Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Irobot Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Irobot Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.