Hexcel Stock Future Price Prediction

HXL -  USA Stock  

USD 50.07  1.39  2.70%

Hexcel Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hexcel Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hexcel Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hexcel Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hexcel Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hexcel Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Hexcel Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hexcel Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hexcel Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hexcel stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hexcel Corp over a specific investment horizon. Using Hexcel Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hexcel Corp from the perspective of Hexcel Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hexcel Corp using Hexcel Corp's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hexcel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hexcel Corp's stock price.
Hexcel Corp Accrued Expenses Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Accrued Expenses Turnover is estimated at 12.54. Operating Margin is expected to hike to 0.96 this year, although the value of Receivables Turnover will most likely fall to 7.84.

Hexcel Corp Implied Volatility

    
  69.2  
Hexcel Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hexcel Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hexcel Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hexcel Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hexcel Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hexcel Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hexcel Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hexcel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hexcel Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 49.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hexcel Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hexcel Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
48.9851.5954.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
39.6742.2844.89
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
48.0057.8865.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.100.150.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hexcel Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hexcel Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hexcel Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hexcel Corp.

Hexcel Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hexcel Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hexcel Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Hexcel Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Hexcel Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hexcel Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hexcel Corp's historical news coverage. Hexcel Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.01 and 52.23, respectively. We have considered Hexcel Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
50.07
3rd of December 2021
49.62
After-hype Price
52.23
Upside
Hexcel Corp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hexcel Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hexcel Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Hexcel Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hexcel Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hexcel Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.15  2.63  0.20   0.01  7 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
50.0749.620.32 
199.24  

Hexcel Corp Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of December Hexcel Corp is traded for 50.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Hexcel is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 49.62. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 199.24%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.32% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Hexcel Corp is about 4614.04% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 50.06. About 106.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Hexcel Corp was currently reported as 17.74. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 148.57. Hexcel Corp recorded a loss per share of 0.29. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 13th of February 2020. The firm had 3:2 split on the 23rd of May 1988. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 7 days.
Please check Hexcel Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hexcel Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hexcel Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hexcel Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Hexcel Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hexcel Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALA
Alabama Aircraft Industries 0.00 9 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00  0.00  210.00 
ACHR
Archer Aviation(0.01) 4 per month 0.00 (0.13)  5.99 (7.00)  21.33 
ALL
Allied Defense Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AERG
Applied Energetics(0.03) 2 per month 7.34  0.14  13.43 (9.55)  50.48 
AIM1
Aerosonic Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AIR
AAR Corp(0.48) 7 per month 1.92  0.0173  3.28 (2.52)  14.59 
AIRI
Air Industries Group(0.02) 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  5.41 (3.77)  17.70 
AJRD
Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings(0.09) 8 per month 1.60  0.07  2.46 (2.56)  7.39 
APLD
Applied Blockchain 0.05 8 per month 7.47  0.13  12.73 (11.16)  41.75 
ASTC
Astrotech Corp 0.01 6 per month 0.00 (0.19)  3.96 (4.35)  12.71 

Hexcel Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hexcel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hexcel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hexcel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hexcel Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hexcel Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hexcel Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hexcel Corp based on analysis of Hexcel Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hexcel Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hexcel Corp's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.720.730.610.52
Interest Coverage9.859.350.340.35

Story Coverage note for Hexcel Corp

The number of cover stories for Hexcel Corp depends on current market conditions and Hexcel Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hexcel Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hexcel Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Hexcel Corp Short Properties

Hexcel Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hexcel Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hexcel Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hexcel Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hexcel Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out10.70%
Short Percent Of Float10.76%
Float Shares83.32M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day670.64k
Shares Short Prior Month8.99M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month609.7k
Date Short Interest15th of September 2021
Please check Hexcel Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Hexcel Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hexcel Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running Hexcel Corp price analysis, check to measure Hexcel Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hexcel Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Hexcel Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hexcel Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hexcel Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hexcel Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hexcel Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hexcel Corp. If investors know Hexcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hexcel Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hexcel Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hexcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hexcel Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hexcel Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hexcel Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hexcel Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hexcel Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hexcel Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hexcel Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.