Huntsman Stock Future Price Prediction

HUN
 Stock
  

USD 27.60  0.18  0.65%   

Huntsman stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Huntsman shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Huntsman's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Huntsman and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Huntsman's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Huntsman, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Huntsman Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Huntsman based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Huntsman stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Huntsman over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.47) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.62
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.45
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.83
Wall Street Target Price
30.79
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.72
Using Huntsman hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Huntsman from the perspective of Huntsman response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Huntsman using Huntsman's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Huntsman using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Huntsman's stock price.
Huntsman Accrued Expenses Turnover is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Accrued Expenses Turnover is estimated at 15.95. Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to rise to 6.59 this year, although the value of PPandE Turnover will most likely fall to 3.32.

Huntsman Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Huntsman's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Huntsman. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Huntsman stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Huntsman may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Huntsman and may potentially protect profits, hedge Huntsman with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
31.4
Short Percent
0.022
Short Ratio
1.63
Shares Short Prior Month
5.5 M
50 Day MA
26.51
Shares Short
M

Huntsman Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Huntsman's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Huntsman. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Huntsman can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Huntsman. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Huntsman's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Huntsman.

Huntsman Implied Volatility

    
  32.5  
Huntsman's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Huntsman stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Huntsman's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Huntsman stock will not fluctuate a lot when Huntsman's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Huntsman. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Huntsman to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Huntsman because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Huntsman after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Huntsman contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Huntsman will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.03% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With Huntsman trading at USD27.6, that is roughly USD0.56. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Huntsman's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Huntsman options at the current volatility level of 32.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Huntsman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Huntsman in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
24.8934.6637.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
25.5327.9030.26
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
34.0042.2559.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (8)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.273.503.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Huntsman. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Huntsman's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Huntsman's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Huntsman.

Huntsman After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Huntsman at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Huntsman or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Huntsman, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Huntsman Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Huntsman's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Huntsman's historical news coverage. Huntsman's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.34 and 30.06, respectively. We have considered Huntsman's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 27.60
27.70
After-hype Price
30.06
Upside
Huntsman is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Huntsman is based on 3 months time horizon.

Huntsman Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Huntsman is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Huntsman backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Huntsman, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.07  2.36  0.05    0.02  7 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.6027.700.18 
332.39  

Huntsman Hype Timeline

On the 1st of December Huntsman is traded for 27.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Huntsman is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 27.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.18% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Huntsman is about 740.07% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 27.58. The company reported the last year's revenue of 8.45 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.04 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.77 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days.
Please check Huntsman Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Huntsman Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Huntsman's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Huntsman's future price movements. Getting to know how Huntsman rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Huntsman may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MMATMeta Materials 0.01 5 per month 5.23  0.18  14.17 (9.36)  44.34 
MAMastercard(7.17) 8 per month 1.66  0.0329  3.71 (3.10)  8.76 
KNKnowles Cor(0.33) 3 per month 1.88 (0.0273)  4.26 (3.08)  9.78 
KOCoca-Cola Co 0.57 4 per month 1.17 (0.0197)  2.06 (1.59)  5.09 
TRIThomson Reuters Corp 0.64 9 per month 1.31  0.025  2.64 (2.52)  6.99 
AJRDAerojet Rocketdyne Holdings 0.68 7 per month 1.52  0.1  3.16 (2.60)  8.38 
GSGoldman Sachs Group 5.95 4 per month 1.51  0.1  3.98 (2.43)  7.56 
HDHome Depot 0.32 9 per month 1.82  0.0467  2.81 (2.50)  11.25 
ULTAUlta Beauty(3.54) 4 per month 1.71  0.06  3.33 (2.33)  8.45 

Huntsman Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Huntsman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Huntsman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Huntsman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Huntsman Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Huntsman stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Huntsman, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Huntsman based on analysis of Huntsman hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Huntsman's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Huntsman's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.810.430.350.36
Interest Coverage4.232.1611.4512.35

Story Coverage note for Huntsman

The number of cover stories for Huntsman depends on current market conditions and Huntsman's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Huntsman is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Huntsman's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Huntsman Short Properties

Huntsman's future price predictability will typically decrease when Huntsman's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Huntsman often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Huntsman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huntsman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding221000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1041000000.00
Please check Huntsman Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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Is Huntsman's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Huntsman. If investors know Huntsman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Huntsman listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.47) 
Market Capitalization
5.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.041) 
Return On Assets
0.0768
Return On Equity
30.51
The market value of Huntsman is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Huntsman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Huntsman's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Huntsman's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Huntsman's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Huntsman's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Huntsman's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Huntsman value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Huntsman's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.