HSBC Holdings Stock Future Price Prediction

HSBC
 Stock
  

USD 30.57  0.05  0.16%   

HSBC Holdings PLC stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of HSBC Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of HSBC Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of HSBC Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from HSBC Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with HSBC Holdings PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check HSBC Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of HSBC Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The HSBC Holdings stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on HSBC Holdings over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.43) 
Wall Street Target Price
42.4
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.17) 
Using HSBC Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HSBC Holdings PLC from the perspective of HSBC Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards HSBC Holdings using HSBC Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards HSBC Holdings using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of HSBC Holdings' stock price.
HSBC Holdings Calculated Tax Rate is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 26.56. The current year PPandE Turnover is expected to grow to 9.34, whereas Book Value per Share is forecasted to decline to 45.14.

HSBC Holdings Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in HSBC Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards HSBC Holdings. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of HSBC Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long HSBC Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about HSBC Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge HSBC Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
30.9884
Short Percent
0.0018
Short Ratio
3.04
Shares Short Prior Month
11.4 M
50 Day MA
27.5386
Shares Short
10.1 M

HSBC Holdings PLC Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to HSBC Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in HSBC Holdings. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding HSBC Holdings can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around HSBC Holdings PLC. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of HSBC Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about HSBC Holdings.

HSBC Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  51.96  
HSBC Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of HSBC Holdings PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if HSBC Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that HSBC Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when HSBC Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in HSBC Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HSBC Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HSBC Holdings because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

HSBC Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 30.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current HSBC Holdings contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that HSBC Holdings PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.25% per day over the life of the 2022-12-09 option contract. With HSBC Holdings trading at USD30.57, that is roughly USD0.99. If you think that the market is fully incorporating HSBC Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring HSBC Holdings PLC options at the current volatility level of 51.96%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of HSBC Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of HSBC Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
27.2134.2436.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
27.9830.2332.48
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
39.4039.4039.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.113.603.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HSBC Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HSBC Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HSBC Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in HSBC Holdings PLC.

HSBC Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of HSBC Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HSBC Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HSBC Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

HSBC Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting HSBC Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HSBC Holdings' historical news coverage. HSBC Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.98 and 32.48, respectively. We have considered HSBC Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 30.57
30.23
After-hype Price
32.48
Upside
HSBC Holdings is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HSBC Holdings PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

HSBC Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as HSBC Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HSBC Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HSBC Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02  2.24   0.01   0.11  9 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
30.5730.230.00 
800.00  

HSBC Holdings Hype Timeline

HSBC Holdings PLC is currently traded for 30.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. HSBC Holdings forecasted not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to HSBC Holdings is about 40.17%. The volatility of related hype on HSBC Holdings is about 40.17% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 30.68. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. HSBC Holdings PLC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.58. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of August 2022. The firm had 6:1 split on the 7th of July 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Please check HSBC Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

HSBC Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to HSBC Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HSBC Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how HSBC Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HSBC Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UMCUnited Microelectronics 0.01 7 per month 2.33  0.0489  5.90 (4.80)  17.74 
RNECFRenesas Electronics 0.00 0 per month 1.67  0.0251  4.43 (3.09)  12.34 
AMATApplied Materials 7.05 8 per month 2.58  0.07  5.47 (5.64)  16.68 
ADIAnalog Devices(4.86) 8 per month 1.89  0.06  4.54 (3.41)  10.55 
TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated(1.39) 5 per month 1.86  0.0287  3.91 (2.71)  8.19 
MCHPMicrochip Technology(1.24) 7 per month 2.37  0.08  4.78 (4.06)  15.44 
ASMLFASML Holding NV 39.46 10 per month 2.80  0.10  5.29 (5.73)  16.81 

HSBC Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine HSBC Holdings price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HSBC Holdings using various technical indicators. When you analyze HSBC Holdings charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About HSBC Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of HSBC Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HSBC Holdings PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HSBC Holdings based on analysis of HSBC Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HSBC Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HSBC Holdings's related companies.
 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
PPandE Turnover7.837.789.34
Calculated Tax Rate37.326.5628.01

Story Coverage note for HSBC Holdings

The number of cover stories for HSBC Holdings depends on current market conditions and HSBC Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HSBC Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HSBC Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

HSBC Holdings Short Properties

HSBC Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when HSBC Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HSBC Holdings PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HSBC Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HSBC Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4060400000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments422437000000.00
Please check HSBC Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the HSBC Holdings PLC information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other HSBC Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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When running HSBC Holdings PLC price analysis, check to measure HSBC Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HSBC Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of HSBC Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HSBC Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HSBC Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HSBC Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is HSBC Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HSBC Holdings. If investors know HSBC Holdings will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HSBC Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.43) 
Market Capitalization
121.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.17) 
Return On Assets
0.0046
Return On Equity
0.0703
The market value of HSBC Holdings PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of HSBC Holdings that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HSBC Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HSBC Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HSBC Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HSBC Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HSBC Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine HSBC Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HSBC Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.