Hawaiian Stock Future Price Prediction

HA
 Stock
  

USD 15.43  0.89  6.12%   

Hawaiian Hlds stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Hawaiian Hlds shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Hawaiian Hlds' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Hawaiian Hlds and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Hawaiian Hlds' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hawaiian Hlds, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Hawaiian Hlds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Hawaiian Hlds based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Hawaiian stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hawaiian Hlds over a specific investment horizon.Using Hawaiian Hlds hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hawaiian Hlds from the perspective of Hawaiian Hlds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hawaiian Hlds using Hawaiian Hlds' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hawaiian using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hawaiian Hlds' stock price.
Hawaiian Hlds Interest Coverage is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Interest Coverage was at 27.32. The current year Long Term Debt to Equity is expected to grow to 3.42, whereas Calculated Tax Rate is forecasted to decline to 22.85.

Hawaiian Hlds Implied Volatility

    
  58.99  
Hawaiian Hlds' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hawaiian Hlds stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hawaiian Hlds' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hawaiian Hlds stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hawaiian Hlds' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Hawaiian Hlds. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hawaiian Hlds to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hawaiian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hawaiian Hlds after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 15.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hawaiian Hlds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hawaiian Hlds in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
14.3718.3422.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.3714.3418.31
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0026.4032.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-8.06-7.88-7.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hawaiian Hlds. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hawaiian Hlds' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hawaiian Hlds' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hawaiian Hlds.

Hawaiian Hlds After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hawaiian Hlds at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hawaiian Hlds or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Hawaiian Hlds, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Hawaiian Hlds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hawaiian Hlds' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hawaiian Hlds' historical news coverage. Hawaiian Hlds' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.27 and 19.21, respectively. We have considered Hawaiian Hlds' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 15.43
15.24
After-hype Price
19.21
Upside
Hawaiian Hlds is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hawaiian Hlds is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hawaiian Hlds Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Hawaiian Hlds is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hawaiian Hlds backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hawaiian Hlds, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.23  3.97   0.19   0.00  1 Events / Month8 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.4315.241.23 
472.62  

Hawaiian Hlds Hype Timeline

As of June 26, 2022 Hawaiian Hlds is listed for 15.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Hawaiian is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 15.24. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -1.23% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Hawaiian Hlds is about 397000.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 15.43. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.26. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hawaiian Hlds has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.03. The entity recorded a loss per share of 4.33. The firm next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 13th of February 2020. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be very soon.
Please check Hawaiian Hlds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hawaiian Hlds Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hawaiian Hlds' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hawaiian Hlds' future price movements. Getting to know how Hawaiian Hlds rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hawaiian Hlds may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HAHawaiian Hlds(0.84) 1 per month 0.00 (0.0137)  6.12 (5.77)  19.21 
GOLGol Linhas Aereas(0.07) 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  8.89 (8.12)  31.71 
UALUnited Airlines Holdings 1.67 5 per month 0.00  0.0201  6.94 (7.13)  19.37 
AALAmerican Airlines Gp 0.12 9 per month 0.00 (0.0087)  7.04 (7.46)  20.07 
REMRFAtlas Salt 0.24 3 per month 4.94  0.13  13.64 (7.83)  49.47 
PFEPfizer Inc 0.39 10 per month 0.00  0.07  3.17 (3.16)  8.45 
MMM3M Company(1.17) 7 per month 0.00  0.001  2.17 (2.52)  8.68 
TRVThe Travelers Companies(0.37) 10 per month 0.00  0.0145  1.92 (2.17)  6.81 
INTCIntel Corp(1.63) 9 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.21 (3.64)  13.88 
PGProcter Gamble 1.65 10 per month 0.00  0.05  2.54 (2.30)  8.89 

Hawaiian Hlds Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hawaiian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hawaiian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hawaiian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hawaiian Hlds Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hawaiian Hlds stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hawaiian Hlds, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hawaiian Hlds based on analysis of Hawaiian Hlds hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hawaiian Hlds's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hawaiian Hlds's related companies.
 2018 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.643.173.42
Interest Coverage19.8127.3229.47

Story Coverage note for Hawaiian Hlds

The number of cover stories for Hawaiian Hlds depends on current market conditions and Hawaiian Hlds' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hawaiian Hlds is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hawaiian Hlds' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Hawaiian Hlds Short Properties

Hawaiian Hlds' future price predictability will typically decrease when Hawaiian Hlds' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hawaiian Hlds often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hawaiian Hlds' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hawaiian Hlds' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out8.64%
Short Percent Of Float14.16%
Float Shares50.22M
Shares Short Prior Month4.93M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.25M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.06M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Please check Hawaiian Hlds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Hawaiian Hlds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hawaiian Hlds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running Hawaiian Hlds price analysis, check to measure Hawaiian Hlds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hawaiian Hlds is operating at the current time. Most of Hawaiian Hlds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hawaiian Hlds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hawaiian Hlds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hawaiian Hlds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hawaiian Hlds' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hawaiian Hlds. If investors know Hawaiian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hawaiian Hlds listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hawaiian Hlds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hawaiian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hawaiian Hlds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hawaiian Hlds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hawaiian Hlds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hawaiian Hlds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hawaiian Hlds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hawaiian Hlds value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hawaiian Hlds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.