Gaotu Stock Future Price Prediction

GOTU -  USA Stock  

USD 2.09  0.29  12.18%

Gaotu Techedu stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Gaotu Techedu shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Gaotu Techedu's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gaotu Techedu and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gaotu Techedu's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gaotu Techedu, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Gaotu Techedu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Gaotu Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Gaotu Techedu based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Gaotu stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Gaotu Techedu over a specific investment horizon. Using Gaotu Techedu hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gaotu Techedu from the perspective of Gaotu Techedu response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gaotu Techedu using Gaotu Techedu's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gaotu using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gaotu Techedu's stock price.
Gaotu Techedu Book Value per Share is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Gaotu Techedu reported Book Value per Share of 23.91 in 2020. Debt to Equity Ratio is likely to gain to 0.93 in 2021, whereas Earnings per Basic Share are likely to drop (5.96)  in 2021.

Gaotu Techedu Implied Volatility

    
  148.17  
Gaotu Techedu's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gaotu Techedu stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gaotu Techedu's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gaotu Techedu stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gaotu Techedu's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Gaotu Techedu. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gaotu Techedu to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gaotu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Gaotu Techedu after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 2.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gaotu Techedu's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Gaotu Techedu in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.224.3311.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0353171.778.79
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
2.0011.2729.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.41-0.41-0.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gaotu Techedu. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gaotu Techedu's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gaotu Techedu's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Gaotu Techedu.

Gaotu Techedu After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gaotu Techedu at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gaotu Techedu or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Gaotu Techedu, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Gaotu Techedu Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gaotu Techedu's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gaotu Techedu's historical news coverage. Gaotu Techedu's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 9.08, respectively. We have considered Gaotu Techedu's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.09
3rd of December 2021
2.05
After-hype Price
9.08
Upside
Gaotu Techedu is very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gaotu Techedu is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gaotu Techedu Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Gaotu Techedu is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gaotu Techedu backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gaotu Techedu, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.48  7.03  0.04   0.00  10 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.092.051.91 
7,811  

Gaotu Techedu Hype Timeline

Gaotu Techedu is currently traded for 2.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Gaotu is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 2.05. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -1.91% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Gaotu Techedu is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.09. About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 10 days.
Please check Gaotu Techedu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Gaotu Techedu Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gaotu Techedu's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gaotu Techedu's future price movements. Getting to know how Gaotu Techedu rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gaotu Techedu may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Gaotu Techedu Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gaotu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gaotu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gaotu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Gaotu Techedu Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Gaotu Techedu stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gaotu Techedu, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gaotu Techedu based on analysis of Gaotu Techedu hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gaotu Techedu's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gaotu Techedu's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Gaotu Techedu

The number of cover stories for Gaotu Techedu depends on current market conditions and Gaotu Techedu's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gaotu Techedu is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gaotu Techedu's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Gaotu Techedu Short Properties

Gaotu Techedu's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gaotu Techedu's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gaotu Techedu often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gaotu Techedu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gaotu Techedu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out17.45%
Float Shares123.6M
Shares Short Prior Month30.66M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day7.76M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month10.37M
Date Short Interest13th of August 2021
Please check Gaotu Techedu Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Gaotu Techedu information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gaotu Techedu's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Gaotu Stock analysis

When running Gaotu Techedu price analysis, check to measure Gaotu Techedu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gaotu Techedu is operating at the current time. Most of Gaotu Techedu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gaotu Techedu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gaotu Techedu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gaotu Techedu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gaotu Techedu's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gaotu Techedu. If investors know Gaotu will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gaotu Techedu listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Gaotu Techedu is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gaotu that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gaotu Techedu's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gaotu Techedu's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gaotu Techedu's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gaotu Techedu's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gaotu Techedu's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Gaotu Techedu value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gaotu Techedu's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.