GM Stock Future Price Prediction

GM -  USA Stock  

USD 38.10  1.00  2.70%

General Motors stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of GM shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of GM's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GM and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GM's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with General Motors, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check GM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of GM based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The GM stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on GM over a specific investment horizon. Using GM hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of General Motors from the perspective of GM response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GM using GM's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GM using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GM's stock price.
GM Accrued Expenses Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Accrued Expenses Turnover is estimated at 7.82. Operating Margin is expected to hike to 7.92 this year, although the value of Calculated Tax Rate will most likely fall to 21.81.

GM Implied Volatility

GM's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of General Motors stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GM's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GM stock will not fluctuate a lot when GM's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in GM. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GM to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

GM after-hype prediction price

  $ 38.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of GM's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of GM in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
12 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in General Motors.

GM After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GM at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GM or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of GM, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

GM Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GM's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GM's historical news coverage. GM's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.59 and 41.41, respectively. We have considered GM's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 38.10
After-hype Price
GM is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of General Motors is based on 3 months time horizon.

GM Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as GM is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GM backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GM, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.36  2.91  0.36   0.00  7 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

GM Hype Timeline

As of May 18, 2022 General Motors is listed for 38.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.36 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. GM is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 38.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price surge on the next news is projected to be 1.05% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.36%. The volatility of related hype on GM is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 38.1. The company generated the yearly revenue of 127 B. Reported Net Income was 9.84 B with gross profit of 18.08 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 7 days.
Please check GM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

GM Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GM's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GM's future price movements. Getting to know how GM rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GM may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

GM Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GM using various technical indicators. When you analyze GM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About GM Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of GM stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as General Motors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GM based on analysis of GM hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GM's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GM's related companies.
 2018 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.881.12
Interest Coverage8.4616.39

Story Coverage note for GM

The number of cover stories for GM depends on current market conditions and GM's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GM is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GM's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

GM Short Properties

GM's future price predictability will typically decrease when GM's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of General Motors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.56%
Short Percent Of Float1.56%
Float Shares1.38B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day20.4M
Shares Short Prior Month26.72M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month18.05M
Date Short Interest31st of January 2022
Please check GM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the General Motors information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GM's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Complementary Tools for GM Stock analysis

When running General Motors price analysis, check to measure GM's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GM is operating at the current time. Most of GM's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GM's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GM's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GM to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is GM's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GM. If investors know GM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GM listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of General Motors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GM's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GM's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GM's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GM's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine GM value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.