Green Stock Future Price Prediction

GDOT
 Stock
  

USD 19.20  1.18  5.79%   

Green Dot stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Green Dot shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Green Dot's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Green Dot and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Green Dot's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Green Dot, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Green Dot Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Green Dot based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Green stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Green Dot over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.33) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.48
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.19
Wall Street Target Price
23.75
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.35
Using Green Dot hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Green Dot from the perspective of Green Dot response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Green Dot using Green Dot's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Green using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Green Dot's stock price.
Green Dot Revenue to Assets are comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Green Dot reported Revenue to Assets of 0.30 in 2021. Total Assets Per Share is likely to gain to 92.92 in 2022, whereas Cash Flow Per Share is likely to drop 2.85 in 2022.

Green Dot Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Green Dot's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Green. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Green Dot stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Green Dot may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Green Dot and may potentially protect profits, hedge Green Dot with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
24.28
Short Percent
0.0637
Short Ratio
3.96
Shares Short Prior Month
2.3 M
50 Day MA
18.99
Shares Short
2.5 M

Green Dot Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Green Dot's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Green. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Green can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Green Dot. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Green Dot's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Green Dot.

Green Dot Implied Volatility

    
  54.62  
Green Dot's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Green Dot stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Green Dot's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Green Dot stock will not fluctuate a lot when Green Dot's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Green Dot. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Green Dot to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Green because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Green Dot after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Green contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Green Dot will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.41% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With Green Dot trading at USD19.2, that is roughly USD0.66. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Green Dot's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Green Dot options at the current volatility level of 54.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Green Dot's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Green Dot in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
17.2827.1330.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.9620.1123.26
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.0054.0065.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.571.621.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Green Dot. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Green Dot's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Green Dot's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Green Dot.

Green Dot After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Green Dot at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Green Dot or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Green Dot, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Green Dot Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Green Dot's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Green Dot's historical news coverage. Green Dot's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.00 and 22.30, respectively. We have considered Green Dot's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 19.20
19.15
After-hype Price
22.30
Upside
Green Dot is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Green Dot is based on 3 months time horizon.

Green Dot Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Green Dot is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Green Dot backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Green Dot, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.08  3.15   0.05    0.04  5 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.2019.150.26 
484.62  

Green Dot Hype Timeline

Green Dot is currently traded for 19.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Green is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 19.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.26% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Green Dot is about 656.25% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 19.16. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.35. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Green Dot has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.49. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Please check Green Dot Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Green Dot Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Green Dot's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Green Dot's future price movements. Getting to know how Green Dot rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Green Dot may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PGProcter Gamble(0.48) 6 per month 1.19  0.0164  1.83 (2.07)  4.27 

Green Dot Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Green price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Green using various technical indicators. When you analyze Green charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Green Dot Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Green Dot stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Green Dot, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Green Dot based on analysis of Green Dot hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Green Dot's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Green Dot's related companies.
 2017 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.07680.08830.13
Interest Coverage66.91443.16478.15

Story Coverage note for Green Dot

The number of cover stories for Green Dot depends on current market conditions and Green Dot's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Green Dot is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Green Dot's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Green Dot Short Properties

Green Dot's future price predictability will typically decrease when Green Dot's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Green Dot often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Green Dot's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Green Dot's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding55415000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1322319000.00
Please check Green Dot Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Green Dot price analysis, check to measure Green Dot's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Green Dot is operating at the current time. Most of Green Dot's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Green Dot's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Green Dot's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Green Dot to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Green Dot's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Dot. If investors know Green will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Green Dot listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.33) 
Market Capitalization
1.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.013
Return On Assets
0.0105
Return On Equity
0.0514
The market value of Green Dot is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Green that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Green Dot's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Green Dot's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Green Dot's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Green Dot's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Dot's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Green Dot value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Green Dot's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.