Futu Holdings Stock Future Price Prediction

FUTU -  USA Stock  

USD 39.18  2.11  5.11%

Futu Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Futu Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Futu Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Futu Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Futu Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Futu Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Futu Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Futu Holdings Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Futu Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Futu Holdings stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Futu Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Futu Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Futu Holdings from the perspective of Futu Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Futu Holdings using Futu Holdings' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Futu Holdings using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Futu Holdings' stock price.
Futu Holdings Profit Margin is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Futu Holdings reported Profit Margin of 0.40 in 2020. Return on Average Assets is likely to gain to 0.0259 in 2021, whereas Tangible Assets Book Value per Share are likely to drop 449.50 in 2021.

Futu Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  182.3  
Futu Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Futu Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Futu Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Futu Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Futu Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Futu Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Futu Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Futu Holdings because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Futu Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 37.77  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Futu Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Futu Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
35.2961.6967.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
26.2531.9837.71
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
66.00131.48230.30
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.052.432.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Futu Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Futu Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Futu Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Futu Holdings.

Futu Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Futu Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Futu Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Futu Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Futu Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Futu Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Futu Holdings' historical news coverage. Futu Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.04 and 43.50, respectively. We have considered Futu Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
39.18
3rd of December 2021
37.77
After-hype Price
43.50
Upside
Futu Holdings is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Futu Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Futu Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Futu Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Futu Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Futu Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.60  4.99  13.14   0.39  9 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
39.1837.773.67 
60.78  

Futu Holdings Hype Timeline

Futu Holdings is currently traded for 39.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 13.14 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.39. Futu Holdings is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 37.77. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 60.78%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -3.67% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.6%. The volatility of related hype on Futu Holdings is about 2070.54% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 38.79. About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.83. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Futu Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Please check Futu Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Futu Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Futu Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Futu Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Futu Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Futu Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ABWG
Ab Watley Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AC
Associated Capital Group(0.24) 10 per month 1.71  0.07  2.94 (2.61)  10.52 
ADV1
Advest Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AGE1
Edwards A G 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AMRK
A-Mark Precious Meta(2.08) 9 per month 2.98  0.15  4.83 (5.06)  19.41 
AMTD
TD Ameritrade Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ARBK
Argo Blockchain Plc 0.28 3 per month 5.47  0.022  8.46 (8.99)  20.92 
ATIF
Atif Holdings(0.48) 6 per month 5.29  0.0224  8.75 (7.27)  31.96 
ATYM
ASIA TIME CORP 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.17)  0.00  0.00  99.00 
BGCP
Bgc Partners Cl 0.11 2 per month 0.00 (0.0489)  4.03 (3.05)  9.89 

Futu Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Futu Holdings price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Futu Holdings using various technical indicators. When you analyze Futu Holdings charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Futu Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Futu Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Futu Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Futu Holdings based on analysis of Futu Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Futu Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Futu Holdings's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Gross Margin0.690.740.790.81
Free Cash Flow per Share88.217.78157.49169.93

Story Coverage note for Futu Holdings

The number of cover stories for Futu Holdings depends on current market conditions and Futu Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Futu Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Futu Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Futu Holdings Short Properties

Futu Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Futu Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Futu Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Futu Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Futu Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.14%
Float Shares66.01M
Shares Short Prior Month3.3M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.87M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.6M
Date Short Interest13th of August 2021
Please check Futu Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Futu Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Futu Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

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Is Futu Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Futu Holdings. If investors know Futu Holdings will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Futu Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Futu Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Futu Holdings that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Futu Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Futu Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Futu Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Futu Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Futu Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Futu Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Futu Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.