Fox Factory Stock Future Price Prediction

FOXF
 Stock
  

USD 104.95  2.05  1.99%   

Fox Factory Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Fox Factory shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Fox Factory's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fox Factory and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fox Factory's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fox Factory Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Fox Factory Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Fox Factory based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Fox Factory stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Fox Factory over a specific investment horizon.Using Fox Factory hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fox Factory Holding from the perspective of Fox Factory response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Fox Factory Calculated Tax Rate is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 13.04. The current year PPandE Turnover is expected to grow to 7.53, whereas Accounts Payable Turnover is forecasted to decline to 12.27.

Fox Factory Holding Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Fox Factory's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Fox Factory. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fox Factory can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fox Factory Holding. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fox Factory's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fox Factory.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Fox Factory. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fox Factory to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fox Factory because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Fox Factory after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 104.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fox Factory's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Fox Factory in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
93.93121.87125.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
94.0997.60101.11
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
130.00180.00210.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.414.494.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fox Factory. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fox Factory's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fox Factory's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Fox Factory Holding.

Fox Factory After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fox Factory at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fox Factory or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fox Factory, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fox Factory Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fox Factory's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fox Factory's historical news coverage. Fox Factory's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 100.55 and 107.57, respectively. We have considered Fox Factory's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 104.95
100.55
Downside
104.06
After-hype Price
107.57
Upside
Fox Factory is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fox Factory Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fox Factory Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Fox Factory is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fox Factory backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fox Factory, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.22  3.51   0.31   0.02  2 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
104.95104.060.30 
247.18  

Fox Factory Hype Timeline

Fox Factory Holding is currently traded for 104.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.31 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Fox Factory is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 104.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.3% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Fox Factory is about 3722.73% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 104.97. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Fox Factory was currently reported as 24.96. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.72. Fox Factory Holding had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Please check Fox Factory Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Fox Factory Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fox Factory's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fox Factory's future price movements. Getting to know how Fox Factory rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fox Factory may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Fox Factory Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fox Factory price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fox Factory using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fox Factory charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Fox Factory Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Fox Factory stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fox Factory Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fox Factory based on analysis of Fox Factory hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fox Factory's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fox Factory's related companies.
 2015 2017 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.30.40.47
Interest Coverage22.8227.9821.57

Story Coverage note for Fox Factory

The number of cover stories for Fox Factory depends on current market conditions and Fox Factory's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fox Factory is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fox Factory's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Fox Factory Short Properties

Fox Factory's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fox Factory's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fox Factory Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fox Factory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fox Factory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding42366000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments179686000.00
Please check Fox Factory Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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When running Fox Factory Holding price analysis, check to measure Fox Factory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fox Factory is operating at the current time. Most of Fox Factory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fox Factory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fox Factory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fox Factory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fox Factory's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fox Factory. If investors know Fox Factory will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fox Factory listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Fox Factory Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fox Factory that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fox Factory's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fox Factory's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fox Factory's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fox Factory's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fox Factory's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Fox Factory value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fox Factory's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.