Shift4 Stock Future Price Prediction

FOUR
 Stock
  

USD 32.41  1.36  4.03%   

Shift4 Payments stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Shift4 Payments shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Shift4 Payments' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Shift4 Payments and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Shift4 Payments' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shift4 Payments, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Shift4 Payments Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Shift4 Payments based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Shift4 stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Shift4 Payments over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.25
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.08
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.87
Wall Street Target Price
63.93
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.08
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.68
Using Shift4 Payments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shift4 Payments from the perspective of Shift4 Payments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Shift4 Payments using Shift4 Payments' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Shift4 using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Shift4 Payments' stock price.
Shift4 Payments EBITDA Margin is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Shift4 Payments reported last year EBITDA Margin of 0.06. As of 07/07/2022, Sales per Share is likely to grow to 25.55, while Earnings per Basic Share are likely to drop (0.96) .

Shift4 Payments Implied Volatility

    
  130.55  
Shift4 Payments' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Shift4 Payments stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Shift4 Payments' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Shift4 Payments stock will not fluctuate a lot when Shift4 Payments' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Shift4 Payments. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shift4 Payments to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shift4 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Shift4 Payments after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 32.67  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shift4 Payments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Shift4 Payments in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
29.1748.3653.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
33.8738.8943.91
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
69.0097.50115.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.190.200.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shift4 Payments. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shift4 Payments' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shift4 Payments' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Shift4 Payments.

Shift4 Payments After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Shift4 Payments at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shift4 Payments or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Shift4 Payments, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Shift4 Payments Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Shift4 Payments' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shift4 Payments' historical news coverage. Shift4 Payments' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.65 and 37.69, respectively. We have considered Shift4 Payments' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 32.41
32.67
After-hype Price
37.69
Upside
Shift4 Payments is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shift4 Payments is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shift4 Payments Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Shift4 Payments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shift4 Payments backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shift4 Payments, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.83  5.02  0.26   0.45  5 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.4132.670.80 
1,619  

Shift4 Payments Hype Timeline

Shift4 Payments is currently traded for 32.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.45. Shift4 is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 32.67 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.8% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.83%. The volatility of related hype on Shift4 Payments is about 924.49% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 32.86. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.37 B. Net Loss for the year was (48.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 278.4 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Please check Shift4 Payments Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Shift4 Payments Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Shift4 Payments' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shift4 Payments' future price movements. Getting to know how Shift4 Payments rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shift4 Payments may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BKIBlack Knight 0.86 6 per month 1.42  0.14  2.58 (2.78)  17.69 
FOURShift4 Payments 0.31 5 per month 0.00 (0.14)  6.74 (8.03)  23.33 
MSFTMicrosoft Corp 4.76 10 per month 0.00 (0.0145)  2.97 (4.24)  9.36 
TATT Inc 0.36 10 per month 1.30  0.25  2.99 (2.47)  12.17 
IBMInternational Business Machines(0.1) 10 per month 1.48  0.16  2.47 (2.48)  11.05 
AAAlcoa Corp 0.23 7 per month 0.00 (0.20)  5.10 (6.70)  21.93 
KOCoca-Cola(0.80) 11 per month 1.78  0.14  2.14 (2.01)  10.05 
HPQHP Inc 0.07 8 per month 0.00 (0.0036)  4.02 (4.31)  21.74 
JPMJP Morgan Chase(1.32) 7 per month 0.00 (0.05)  2.98 (2.98)  10.79 
CATCaterpillar 1.06 11 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.20 (4.35)  10.92 

Shift4 Payments Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shift4 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shift4 using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shift4 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Shift4 Payments Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Shift4 Payments stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shift4 Payments, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shift4 Payments based on analysis of Shift4 Payments hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shift4 Payments's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shift4 Payments's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Shift4 Payments

The number of cover stories for Shift4 Payments depends on current market conditions and Shift4 Payments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shift4 Payments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shift4 Payments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Shift4 Payments Short Properties

Shift4 Payments' future price predictability will typically decrease when Shift4 Payments' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shift4 Payments often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shift4 Payments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shift4 Payments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out20.95%
Short Percent Of Float29.35%
Float Shares46.04M
Shares Short Prior Month11.23M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.71M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.22M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Please check Shift4 Payments Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Shift4 Payments information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Shift4 Payments' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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When running Shift4 Payments price analysis, check to measure Shift4 Payments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shift4 Payments is operating at the current time. Most of Shift4 Payments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shift4 Payments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shift4 Payments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shift4 Payments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Shift4 Payments' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shift4 Payments. If investors know Shift4 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shift4 Payments listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.68
Return On Assets
8.0E-4
Return On Equity
-0.0749
The market value of Shift4 Payments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shift4 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shift4 Payments' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shift4 Payments' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shift4 Payments' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shift4 Payments' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shift4 Payments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Shift4 Payments value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shift4 Payments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.