First Stock Future Price Prediction

FNLC -  USA Stock  

USD 28.30  0.21  0.75%

First Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of First Bancorp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of First Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Bancorp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Bancorp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check First Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of First Bancorp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The First stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on First Bancorp over a specific investment horizon. Using First Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Bancorp from the perspective of First Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards First Bancorp using First Bancorp's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards First using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of First Bancorp's stock price.
First Bancorp Calculated Tax Rate is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 18.26. The current year Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to grow to 3.16, whereas PPandE Turnover is forecasted to decline to 3.25.

First Bancorp Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
First Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in First Bancorp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 28.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of First Bancorp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
27.6828.9830.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
27.1928.5029.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.0029.0930.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in First Bancorp.

First Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of First Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

First Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Bancorp's historical news coverage. First Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.66 and 30.28, respectively. We have considered First Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 28.30
28.97
After-hype Price
30.28
Upside
First Bancorp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Bancorp is based on 19 months time horizon.

First Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as First Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.09  1.87   0.02    0.05  11 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.3028.970.10 
813.04  

First Bancorp Hype Timeline

First Bancorp is currently traded for 28.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. First is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 28.97. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.1% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on First Bancorp is about 328.07% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 28.25. About 48.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.33. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Bancorp next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 7th of January 2022. The entity had 3:1 split on the 2nd of June 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 11 days.
Please check First Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how First Bancorp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BFCBank First National(0.57) 10 per month 1.35  0.0159  2.32 (2.44)  12.88 

First Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Bancorp based on analysis of First Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Bancorp's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
PPandE Turnover4.283.913.523.25
Calculated Tax Rate15.6515.8818.2622.15

Story Coverage note for First Bancorp

The number of cover stories for First Bancorp depends on current market conditions and First Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

First Bancorp Short Properties

First Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.60%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.26
Short Percent Of Float0.64%
Float Shares9.03M
Shares Short Prior Month82.05k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day18.91k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month17.07k
Date Short Interest15th of December 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.42%
Please check First Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the First Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other First Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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Is First Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Bancorp. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of First Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine First Bancorp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.