FNB Corp Stock Future Price Prediction

FNB -  USA Stock  

USD 12.43  0.41  3.41%

FNB Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of FNB Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of FNB Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of FNB Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from FNB Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FNB Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check FNB Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

FNB Corp Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of FNB Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The FNB Corp stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on FNB Corp over a specific investment horizon. Using FNB Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FNB Corp from the perspective of FNB Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FNB Corp using FNB Corp's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FNB Corp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FNB Corp's stock price.
FNB Corp Calculated Tax Rate is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 16.62. The current year Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to grow to 2.18, whereas PPandE Turnover is forecasted to decline to 4.04.

FNB Corp Implied Volatility

    
  122.52  
FNB Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FNB Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FNB Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FNB Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when FNB Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in FNB Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FNB Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FNB Corp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

FNB Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 12.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of FNB Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of FNB Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.1812.9914.80
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
13.0014.1115.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (8)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.021.151.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FNB Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FNB Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FNB Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in FNB Corp.

FNB Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of FNB Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FNB Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of FNB Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

FNB Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting FNB Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FNB Corp's historical news coverage. FNB Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.22 and 13.84, respectively. We have considered FNB Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.43
29th of November 2021
12.03
After-hype Price
13.84
Upside
FNB Corp is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FNB Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

FNB Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as FNB Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FNB Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FNB Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08  1.81  0.01   0.05  7 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.4312.030.08 
2,586  

FNB Corp Hype Timeline

On the 29th of November FNB Corp is traded for 12.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. FNB Corp is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 12.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.08% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on FNB Corp is about 282.81% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 12.38. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.19 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 341.96 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.12 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimatedpress releasewill be in about 7 days.
Please check FNB Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

FNB Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to FNB Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FNB Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how FNB Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FNB Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BFC
Bank First National(0.64) 8 per month 1.36  0.0324  1.99 (2.66)  7.03 

FNB Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FNB Corp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FNB Corp using various technical indicators. When you analyze FNB Corp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About FNB Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of FNB Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FNB Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FNB Corp based on analysis of FNB Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FNB Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FNB Corp's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
PPandE Turnover4.344.654.274.04
Calculated Tax Rate17.4817.8316.6224.4

Story Coverage note for FNB Corp

The number of cover stories for FNB Corp depends on current market conditions and FNB Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FNB Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FNB Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

FNB Corp Short Properties

FNB Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when FNB Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FNB Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FNB Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FNB Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.23%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.48
Short Percent Of Float3.63%
Float Shares316.64M
Shares Short Prior Month8.59M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.7M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.38M
Date Short Interest15th of September 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.84%
Please check FNB Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the FNB Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FNB Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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Is FNB Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FNB Corp. If investors know FNB Corp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FNB Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of FNB Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FNB Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FNB Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FNB Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FNB Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FNB Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FNB Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine FNB Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FNB Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.