F5 Networks Stock Future Price Prediction

FFIV
 Stock
  

USD 153.94  1.09  0.70%   

F5 Networks stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of F5 Networks shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of F5 Networks' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of F5 Networks and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from F5 Networks' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with F5 Networks, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check F5 Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of F5 Networks based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The F5 Networks stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on F5 Networks over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.18) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.58
EPS Estimate Current Year
10.12
EPS Estimate Next Year
11.48
Wall Street Target Price
175.62
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
2.52
Using F5 Networks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of F5 Networks from the perspective of F5 Networks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards F5 Networks using F5 Networks' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards F5 Networks using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of F5 Networks' stock price.
F5 Networks Revenue to Assets are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. F5 Networks reported Revenue to Assets of 0.51 in 2021. Total Assets Per Share is likely to climb to 95.10 in 2022, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 11.60 in 2022.

F5 Networks Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in F5 Networks' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards F5 Networks. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of F5 Networks stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long F5 Networks may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about F5 Networks and may potentially protect profits, hedge F5 Networks with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
167.1
Short Percent
0.0396
Short Ratio
3.21
Shares Short Prior Month
2.3 M
50 Day MA
146.43
Shares Short
2.1 M

F5 Networks Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to F5 Networks' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in F5 Networks. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding F5 Networks can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around F5 Networks. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of F5 Networks' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about F5 Networks.

F5 Networks Implied Volatility

    
  23.36  
F5 Networks' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of F5 Networks stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if F5 Networks' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that F5 Networks stock will not fluctuate a lot when F5 Networks' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in F5 Networks. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in F5 Networks to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying F5 Networks because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

F5 Networks after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 153.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current F5 Networks contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that F5 Networks will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.46% per day over the life of the 2022-12-09 option contract. With F5 Networks trading at USD153.94, that is roughly USD2.25. If you think that the market is fully incorporating F5 Networks' daily price movement you should consider acquiring F5 Networks options at the current volatility level of 23.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of F5 Networks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of F5 Networks in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
138.55178.89181.29
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
200.00255.27303.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
8.148.388.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as F5 Networks. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against F5 Networks' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, F5 Networks' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in F5 Networks.

F5 Networks After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of F5 Networks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in F5 Networks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of F5 Networks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

F5 Networks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting F5 Networks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on F5 Networks' historical news coverage. F5 Networks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 151.51 and 156.31, respectively. We have considered F5 Networks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 153.94
151.51
Downside
153.91
After-hype Price
156.31
Upside
F5 Networks is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of F5 Networks is based on 3 months time horizon.

F5 Networks Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as F5 Networks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading F5 Networks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with F5 Networks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.02  2.40   0.03   0.01  7 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
153.94153.910.02 
180.45  

F5 Networks Hype Timeline

F5 Networks is currently traded for 153.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. F5 Networks is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 153.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 180.45%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.02% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on F5 Networks is about 329.41% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 153.95. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of F5 Networks was currently reported as 41.25. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.82. F5 Networks recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.14. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 21st of August 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Please check F5 Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

F5 Networks Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to F5 Networks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict F5 Networks' future price movements. Getting to know how F5 Networks rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how F5 Networks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

F5 Networks Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine F5 Networks price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for F5 Networks using various technical indicators. When you analyze F5 Networks charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About F5 Networks Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of F5 Networks stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as F5 Networks, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of F5 Networks based on analysis of F5 Networks hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to F5 Networks's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to F5 Networks's related companies.
 2020 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.150.18
Interest Coverage51.4852.71

Story Coverage note for F5 Networks

The number of cover stories for F5 Networks depends on current market conditions and F5 Networks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that F5 Networks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about F5 Networks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

F5 Networks Short Properties

F5 Networks' future price predictability will typically decrease when F5 Networks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of F5 Networks often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential F5 Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. F5 Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61097000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments884566000.00
Please check F5 Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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Is F5 Networks' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of F5 Networks. If investors know F5 Networks will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about F5 Networks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.18) 
Market Capitalization
9.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.026
Return On Assets
0.0508
Return On Equity
0.13
The market value of F5 Networks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of F5 Networks that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of F5 Networks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is F5 Networks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because F5 Networks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect F5 Networks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between F5 Networks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine F5 Networks value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, F5 Networks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.