Fuelcell Stock Future Price Prediction

FCEL
 Stock
  

USD 3.72  0.14  3.63%   

Fuelcell Energy stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Fuelcell Energy shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Fuelcell Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fuelcell Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fuelcell Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fuelcell Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Fuelcell Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Fuelcell Energy based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Fuelcell stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Fuelcell Energy over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
-0.06
EPS Estimate Current Year
-0.24
EPS Estimate Next Year
-0.22
Wall Street Target Price
4.76
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
-0.05
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.17
Using Fuelcell Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fuelcell Energy from the perspective of Fuelcell Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fuelcell Energy using Fuelcell Energy's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fuelcell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fuelcell Energy's stock price.
Fuelcell Energy Accrued Expenses Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Accrued Expenses Turnover is estimated at 6.43. Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to hike to 0.28 this year, although the value of Return on Investment will most likely fall to (12.75) .

Fuelcell Energy Implied Volatility

    
  98.69  
Fuelcell Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fuelcell Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fuelcell Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fuelcell Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fuelcell Energy's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Fuelcell Energy. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fuelcell Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fuelcell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Fuelcell Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 3.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fuelcell Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Fuelcell Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.234.6710.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.083.989.73
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
3.005.799.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.26-0.23-0.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fuelcell Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fuelcell Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fuelcell Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Fuelcell Energy.

Fuelcell Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fuelcell Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fuelcell Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Fuelcell Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Fuelcell Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fuelcell Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fuelcell Energy's historical news coverage. Fuelcell Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 9.46, respectively. We have considered Fuelcell Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 3.72
3.70
After-hype Price
9.46
Upside
Fuelcell Energy is risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fuelcell Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fuelcell Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Fuelcell Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fuelcell Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fuelcell Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.52  5.71   0.20    0.93  6 Events / Month9 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.723.705.13 
1,503  

Fuelcell Energy Hype Timeline

Fuelcell Energy is currently traded for 3.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.93. Fuelcell is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 3.7. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -5.13% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Fuelcell Energy is about 319.89% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.79. About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Fuelcell Energy was currently reported as 1.75. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.31. Fuelcell Energy had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 9th of May 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 6 days.
Please check Fuelcell Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Fuelcell Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fuelcell Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fuelcell Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Fuelcell Energy rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fuelcell Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BWBabcock Wilcox Enterprises 0.57 8 per month 0.00 (0.0426)  8.29 (7.28)  28.62 
PLSQFPlus500 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.53  0.00  0.00  2.47 
INTCIntel Corp(0.19) 8 per month 0.00 (0.07)  3.21 (3.64)  13.88 
KOCoca-Cola(0.23) 9 per month 1.70  0.14  1.87 (2.01)  10.05 
TRVThe Travelers Companies(0.37) 9 per month 0.00  0.0141  1.92 (2.17)  6.81 
BABoeing Company 2.37 10 per month 0.00 (0.07)  5.64 (5.07)  16.31 
MSFTMicrosoft Corp(8.92) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0134)  2.97 (4.24)  9.36 
HDHome Depot(9.61) 9 per month 0.00 (0.009)  2.92 (3.54)  8.63 
IBMInternational Business Machines 0.64 11 per month 1.40  0.19  2.47 (2.47)  11.05 
DDDupont Denemours(2.11) 10 per month 0.00 (0.13)  3.00 (3.87)  9.53 

Fuelcell Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fuelcell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fuelcell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fuelcell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Fuelcell Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Fuelcell Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fuelcell Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fuelcell Energy based on analysis of Fuelcell Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fuelcell Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fuelcell Energy's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Receivables Turnover4.953.373.88
PPandE Turnover1.821.842.11

Story Coverage note for Fuelcell Energy

The number of cover stories for Fuelcell Energy depends on current market conditions and Fuelcell Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fuelcell Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fuelcell Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Fuelcell Energy Short Properties

Fuelcell Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fuelcell Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fuelcell Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fuelcell Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fuelcell Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out15.82%
Short Percent Of Float15.83%
Float Shares353.42M
Shares Short Prior Month55.3M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day12.68M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month15.54M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Please check Fuelcell Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Fuelcell Energy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fuelcell Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Fuelcell Stock analysis

When running Fuelcell Energy price analysis, check to measure Fuelcell Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fuelcell Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Fuelcell Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fuelcell Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fuelcell Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fuelcell Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fuelcell Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fuelcell Energy. If investors know Fuelcell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fuelcell Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
1.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.17
Return On Assets
-0.0854
Return On Equity
-0.2
The market value of Fuelcell Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fuelcell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fuelcell Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fuelcell Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fuelcell Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fuelcell Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fuelcell Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Fuelcell Energy value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fuelcell Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.